The stock market was slipping Thursday following its recent Fed-inspired surge after news headlines said that the US economy shrank for two successive quarter as any two consecutive quarters of declines in growth traditionally constitute a recessionThe Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 121.60 points, or 0.38%, at 32,075.99, the …
Read More »When does a real recession begin?
This question normally weighs on consumers, politicians and investors around the world every time the US central bank decides interest rate hikes. Is the US economy in a recession? The reasonable answer, so far, is: “maybe”, in other words; it is “A Mix of Yes and No”. For many people, …
Read More »Yield curve flashing additional signals of recession risks
The US government bond market is sending new signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation will result in recession.While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said that he does not see the economy currently in a recession, spreads between different pairings of Treasury securities …
Read More »What Does Fed’s latest interest rate hike mean for US economy?
The latest 75-basis point rate hike from the Fed, decided on Wednesday, July 27, 2022, will make business debt of higher cost as the monthly payment on loans will be a bigger, if manageable, drain on cash flow.But higher debt interest payments are less significant for business owners than what …
Read More »Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
The Federal Reserve System published a press release on the official website including the FOMC Meeting statement. The statement reads as follows: “Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting …
Read More »Breaking: Fed hikes policy rate by 75 bps as expected
The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced that it had lifted the policy rate, federal funds rate, by 75 bps to the range of 2.25-2.5%. This decision came in line with the market expectation.In its policy statement, the Fed noted that it anticipates that ongoing increases in the policy rate …
Read More »Awaited Fed’s decision between inflation and recession fears
Most economists expect the Fed to hike rates by 75 bps once again. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s message on accepting pain to pin down inflation is expected to give a push to the US dollar. The American central bank is set to hike interest rates by 75 basis points for …
Read More »Financial Markets’ Weekly Recap – July 18-22
The US dollar fell over the past week by more than 1.5%, and closed at 106.410 last Friday. The US Treasury yields declined, but the gap remains large between the two-year yields of 2.9721 and the 10-year yields of 2.754. Following the conclusion of its two-day policy review meeting on …
Read More »Gold rises, supported by lower US Treasury yields
Gold prices rose on Friday, supported by lower US Treasury yields, although the prospects of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike and a stronger dollar limited gains. By 1215 GMT, spot gold rose 0.5% to $1,727.09 an ounce. Prices fell to a more than one-year low of $1,680.25 on Thursday …
Read More »The dollar is on its way to record weekly losses
The dollar rose strongly on Friday, but remained on track for its biggest weekly loss since the end of May after weak US economic data. The euro fell after climbing to a more than two-week high on Thursday when the European Central Bank raised lending costs in its first rate …
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