In a recently published report, Moody’s Investors Service said that it expects the US Federal Reserve to take the policy rate to the range of 3.5-3.75% by the end of the year and above 4% by March 2023.The EUR/USD pair showed no immediate reaction to this report and was last …
Read More »Financial Markets’ Weekly Recap, July 25-29
US monetary policymakers opted a 75bps rate hike. Markets expected this move; a historically large hike. Jerome Powell explained that Fed would likely stop hiking once inflation is controlled. If unemployment rises, the job market weakens, and the US falls into a recession, Fed would ease policy due to lower …
Read More »Fed expected to take rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022
The latest FOMC meeting raised the key interest rate by 75 basis points, as expected. Analysts stick with our forecast that the Fed will take the fed funds rate to a 3.25-3.50% by the end of this year, shifting to a 50 bps hike in September, followed by two consecutive …
Read More »US equities retreat following Fed-inspired surge
The stock market was slipping Thursday following its recent Fed-inspired surge after news headlines said that the US economy shrank for two successive quarter as any two consecutive quarters of declines in growth traditionally constitute a recessionThe Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 121.60 points, or 0.38%, at 32,075.99, the …
Read More »When does a real recession begin?
This question normally weighs on consumers, politicians and investors around the world every time the US central bank decides interest rate hikes. Is the US economy in a recession? The reasonable answer, so far, is: “maybe”, in other words; it is “A Mix of Yes and No”. For many people, …
Read More »Yield curve flashing additional signals of recession risks
The US government bond market is sending new signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation will result in recession.While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said that he does not see the economy currently in a recession, spreads between different pairings of Treasury securities …
Read More »What Does Fed’s latest interest rate hike mean for US economy?
The latest 75-basis point rate hike from the Fed, decided on Wednesday, July 27, 2022, will make business debt of higher cost as the monthly payment on loans will be a bigger, if manageable, drain on cash flow.But higher debt interest payments are less significant for business owners than what …
Read More »Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
The Federal Reserve System published a press release on the official website including the FOMC Meeting statement. The statement reads as follows: “Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting …
Read More »Breaking: Fed hikes policy rate by 75 bps as expected
The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced that it had lifted the policy rate, federal funds rate, by 75 bps to the range of 2.25-2.5%. This decision came in line with the market expectation.In its policy statement, the Fed noted that it anticipates that ongoing increases in the policy rate …
Read More »Awaited Fed’s decision between inflation and recession fears
Most economists expect the Fed to hike rates by 75 bps once again. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s message on accepting pain to pin down inflation is expected to give a push to the US dollar. The American central bank is set to hike interest rates by 75 basis points for …
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