President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Mester, said on Thursday that the Fed should raise interest rates to above 4% in order to bring inflation back down to target.The US dollar was lower vs. most major currencies on Thursday, down some 0.5% at the time of writing …
Read More »Analyzing market reaction to NFP surprises
US Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to rise by 250,000 in July. Most assets, including gold, could likely react more significantly to any disappointing jobs report than a positive one. Gold’s movement has no apparent connection with NFP deviation four hours after the release.The headline job gains so far this year …
Read More »Bailey speech: Parts of UK economy are still going forward strongly
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is delivering his remarks on the policy outlook and responding to questions from the press following the bank’s decision to hike the policy rate by 50 basis points to 1.75%. Quotes “We would have had to raise interest rates in double digits last …
Read More »BOE hikes policy rate by 50 bps to 1.75% as expected
Following its August policy meeting, the Bank of England announced that it raised the policy rate by 50 basis points to 1.75% as expected. The policy statement revealed that Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Silvana Tenreyro voted to hike the rate by 0.25 basis points.
Read More »Fed speakers reiterate more hawkish tone
“We have a lot in the pipeline in tightening but yet to see that in data showing a slowing of the economy,” San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday. Daly said that the Fed is nowhere near finished with the inflation fight. Also, James Bullard began yesterday by …
Read More »Job openings fall sharply in June
The total of US employment vacancies fell to about 10.7 million through the last day of June. Even with the sharp decline, there were still 1.8 open jobs per available worker.Job openings retreated in June to their lowest level since September 2021 in a potential sign that a historically tight …
Read More »Reserve Bank of Australia Decision Preview
During its meeting, on Tuesday, August 2, the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hike the cash rate by 50 bps. The current cash rate is at 1.35%, a level that Australian monetary policymakers consider as ‘below neutral’, while they consider the neutral level is at least 2.5%. Smaller …
Read More »Fed expected to lift policy rate to 3.5-3.75% by end of 2022
In a recently published report, Moody’s Investors Service said that it expects the US Federal Reserve to take the policy rate to the range of 3.5-3.75% by the end of the year and above 4% by March 2023.The EUR/USD pair showed no immediate reaction to this report and was last …
Read More »Financial Markets’ Weekly Recap, July 25-29
US monetary policymakers opted a 75bps rate hike. Markets expected this move; a historically large hike. Jerome Powell explained that Fed would likely stop hiking once inflation is controlled. If unemployment rises, the job market weakens, and the US falls into a recession, Fed would ease policy due to lower …
Read More »Fed expected to take rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022
The latest FOMC meeting raised the key interest rate by 75 basis points, as expected. Analysts stick with our forecast that the Fed will take the fed funds rate to a 3.25-3.50% by the end of this year, shifting to a 50 bps hike in September, followed by two consecutive …
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