Strong January as well as latest gains in the stocks market are driven by hope that the US interest rate hiking cycle is close to its end and that a pause is on the cards. If investors’ expectations are eventually found mistaken about this hope, a drop could be very …
Read More »What Do Markets Expect From First FOMC Decision in 2023?
After seven consecutive increases in 2022, traders and investors expect the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, with increases of 50 basis points by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England on Thursday.If markets are expecting a 25 basis point hike and eventually a …
Read More »Is ECI data good new for the FOMC?
The Employment Cost Index report released on Tuesday had an unusual impact across almost all financial markets, particularly the US dollar that weakened following the index reading.Analysts pointed out that the reading is one more inflation-linked indicator that is seen as easing. While the report supports inflation moving back toward …
Read More »Turkey’s trade deficit jumps 137% in 2022 to $109.54 billion
Official data showed on Tuesday that Turkey’s foreign trade deficit rose 137 percent year-on-year to $109.54 billion in 2022, according to the general trade system. The deficit increased in December by 42 percent from the previous year. According to data from the Turkish Statistical Institute, exports rose in 2022 by …
Read More »Bank of England preview
Over the past year, the Bank of England (BoE) has increased its interest rate from almost zero to 3.5%, adopting a more aggressive escalation policy during the second semester as the inflation rate soared to double digits for the first time in nearly fifty years. The Fed signalled a slowdown …
Read More »Financial Markets’ Weekly Recap, January 23-27
The US Dollar Index began the trading week down around the 102 mark, hovering close to levels not seen since May 2022, as concerns about a US recession and prospects of a less aggressive Fed startled investors away from the American currency which closed the week at 101.9.Oil Price ActionOn …
Read More »EUR/USD hovers around 1.0860s as Fed, ECB decisions eyed
The EUR/USD encountered rejection from the 1.0900 psychological barrier for the second day in a row. On Friday, the pair fell to the 1.08657 territory after US data boosted the expected 25 bps rate hike by the Fed next week. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at …
Read More »GBP/USD snaps two days of gains as FED, BoE policy decisions eyed
Even while US inflation is still twice what the Fed wants it to be, it is steadily weakening. Ahead of the Fed and BoE’s monetary policy decisions next week, the GBP/USD pair is moving sideways.The possibility of minor rate hike by the US Federal Reserve increased as a result of …
Read More »ECB’s 50 bp hike most likely next week
Next week will witness policy meetings by the US Fed, BoE, and the ECB. Investors and traders anticipate rate hikes of 50 basis points as a hint that the Fed will keep rising rates. A 50 bp rate hike for the following week is all but guaranteed, according to analysts …
Read More »US economy grows at an annual rate of 2.9% in Q4
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.9% in the fourth quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis’ (BEA) first estimate showed on Thursday. This reading followed the 3.2% growth recorded in the third quarter and came in slightly better than the market expectation for an expansion of …
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