The specter of persistent inflation continues to loom over the US economy, as evidenced by the latest Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index report. The core PCE, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, edged up to 2.8% year-over-year in October, defying expectations and raising concerns about the central bank’s ability …
Read More »U.S. Economy Maintains Strong Growth in Q3 Amid Robust Consumer Spending
The U.S. economy grew at a steady annualized rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, according to the Commerce Department’s second estimate released on Wednesday. The figure remains unchanged from the initial estimate, reflecting solid consumer spending and a favorable contribution from business investment. Key Highlights GDP Growth: The third-quarter …
Read More »German Consumer Sentiment Declines Sharply Amid Economic Uncertainty
German consumer sentiment is set to decline significantly in December, breaking a streak of improvements as households face growing concerns about job security and economic prospects, according to a survey released on Wednesday. Key Survey Results The GfK Consumer Sentiment Index, published by the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions (NIM), …
Read More »What Do Global Markets Expect From Trump’s Pick for Treasury Secretary?
Financial markets responded positively on Monday to President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of hedge fund manager Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary. Currencies across the globe rallied, reflecting investor optimism that Bessent, founder of Key Square Group, could temper some of Trump’s more extreme economic views.Market ReactionsThe US Dollar Index (DXY), …
Read More »UK Public Borrowing Rises Sharply in October, Highlighting Fiscal Challenges
Britain’s public finances faced mounting pressure in October as borrowing levels exceeded expectations, posing a significant challenge for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves. Official data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that public sector net borrowing reached £17.4 billion ($22 billion) in October, well above the £12.3 billion forecast …
Read More »UK Inflation Surges Past BoE Target, Raising Questions Over Future Rate Policy
Inflation in the United Kingdom unexpectedly surged in October, pushing consumer price growth back above the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target. The increase in underlying inflation pressures suggests that the central bank may need to tread carefully when considering interest rate cuts. Consumer prices rose by an annual 2.3% …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session
The US Dollar traded sideways on Wednesday, November 20th, as geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continued to dominate market sentiment. Investors sought safety in the US Dollar, driving demand for the currency. However, a decline in US Treasury yields tempered the greenback’s strength.Key economic events to watch this week …
Read More »Fed’s Schmid: Large fiscal deficits won’t cause inflation as Fed will raise rates
Jeffrey Schmid, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, expressed optimism on Tuesday, saying he thinks both employment and inflation are moving toward their target levels. The Fed policymaker did, however, warn investors that although the Fed is not preparing any preventative measures for potential government policies in the …
Read More »Explainer: Why Has Fed’s Powell Declared “No Rush for Rate Cuts”
Following the election, stock indices on Wall Street saw a sharp rally, while 10-year Treasury rates increased, a sign of declining prices. The momentum changed last week, though, when Governor Adriana Kugler and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned against anticipating dramatic rate cuts. According to Powell, the US economy …
Read More »EUR/USD Bounces Back Amid Rate Speculations, Rising Trade War Fears
As investors look for fresh clues about possible interest rate moves by the Fed and ECB in December, EUR/USD has gained ground and is now trading close to 1.0550. There is no pressing need to lower interest rates, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed. Investor anxiety over a trade war between …
Read More »