On October 31, the Bank of Japan is scheduled to hold its Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Researchers and economists predict that policy won’t change, but opinions on whether to make another adjustment to Yield Curve Control (YCC) will differ. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield is getting close to reaching its …
Read More »The German economy recorded a slight contraction in Q3
Data showed on Monday that the German economy recorded a slight contraction in the third quarter, as the performance of the largest economy in Europe is still affected by weak purchasing power and high interest rates. The Federal Statistics Office said that the gross domestic product fell 0.1 percent on …
Read More »Could Inflation Trends Keep Fed Rate Hikes on Pause?
September saw underlying price gains, but not enough to cause the central bank to hike interest rates the following week. The summertime decline in inflation slowed last month. However, recent improvements in inflation have allowed Fed policymakers to decide to keep interest rates unchanged at their meeting next week.The Fed’s …
Read More »Middle East tensions, US core PCE keep gold price stable
Gold price continued to consolidate after the US core PCE inflation reading remained in line with estimates. The downside in the gold price remains cushioned by escalating tensions in the Middle East.US Yellen sees Treasury yields elevated on Fed’s “higher for longer” interest rates outlook. Gold price trades back and …
Read More »US Core PCE Preview: Forecast by six major banks, inflation could accelerate
As markets approach the release time on Friday, October 27 at 12:30 GMT, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Below are the forecasts from economists and researchers at six major banks.Expected headline is 3.4% year over …
Read More »Has Bill Ackman become new bond king?
Bill Ackman has just been crowned as the new king of the bond market as the US national debt and deficit reach historic highs. Ed Yardeni, an economist who spent decades on Wall Street at firms like Deutsche Bank, believes that bond guards are once again out in force, with …
Read More »BoC’s Macklem: Could certainly be two or three quarters of small negative growth
Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), explains the BoC decision to leave the interest rate unchanged at 5% after the October policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.Key Quotes“Could certainly be two or three quarters of small negative growth.”“Not predicting a deep recession with a …
Read More »BoC: Holding Rates Steady but Keeps Options Open for Future Hikes
Financial markets and economists anticipate that the central bank will maintain the Official Overnight Rate (OOR) at 5.0% for the second consecutive meeting. This expectation is strongly reflected in market pricing, with an 85% probability favoring another pause. Remarkably, market projections extend until late 2024, indicating a prevailing belief in …
Read More »Powell: Tightening in financial conditions can have implications for policy
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed), prepared remarks for delivery to the Economic Club of New York showed that Powell will say that significant tightening in financial conditions with higher bond yields can have implications for the policy. Powell will add that the policy setting committee is “proceeding …
Read More »Could Powell’s speech reshape rate-hike outlook before blackout period?
Before the Economic Club of New York, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver prepared remarks that are anticipated to increase market volatility and offer crucial details on the Fed’s upcoming policy move. The speech will likely be closely watched by the markets because it will be delivered just …
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