As investors look for fresh clues about possible interest rate moves by the Fed and ECB in December, EUR/USD has gained ground and is now trading close to 1.0550. There is no pressing need to lower interest rates, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed. Investor anxiety over a trade war between …
Read More »Fed’s Goolsbee: The Fed needs to focus on longer trends
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Friday that markets tend to overreact to interest rate changes and that the Fed should maintain a slow and steady approach to reaching the neutral rate.Key QuotesIn regards to a December rate cut or pause. I don’t like tying our …
Read More »US Inflation Edges Higher in October, Keeping Federal Reserve Focused Ahead of Key Meeting
Headline inflation in the United States rose in October as anticipated, according to the Labor Department, drawing the attention of the Federal Reserve as it prepares for a pivotal policy meeting next month. The consumer price index (CPI), a primary measure of price growth in the U.S., increased by 2.6% …
Read More »Fed’s Kashkari: Can’t declare victory on inflation, but have reasons to be confident
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari noted on Tuesday that while the Fed has many reasons to feel confident about its long-running battle with transitory inflation, it still may be too soon to declare outright victory. Key US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures expected in the midweek are …
Read More »German Investor Morale Dips Amid Political and Global Uncertainty
Investor confidence in Germany took a notable hit in November, clouded by the combined impact of domestic political turmoil and global economic uncertainties stemming from Donald Trump’s re-election as U.S. president. The ZEW Institute reported a substantial decline in its economic sentiment index, which dropped to 7.4 points from 13.1 …
Read More »Weekly Recap: Elections, Fed to continue as market movers for a while
Last week marked pivotal to financial markets because of the US presidential election results and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. This confluence of events has the potential to significantly shape the trajectory of global asset prices and market trends for years to come. Given the far-reaching political and economic …
Read More »Germany’s Services Sector Sees Modest Growth in October, But Demand Weakness Persists
Germany’s services sector experienced a slight improvement in October, with the HCOB Germany Services PMI rising to 51.6 from 50.6 in September, marking its first growth acceleration in five months. Although this three-month high signals expansion, underlying demand remains fragile, as shown by a drop in new business for the …
Read More »Where US Economy Stands Prior To Election Results
As voters prepare to choose the next president, the U.S. economy is, by most measures, stronger than it has been in recent election cycles, though some exceptions help explain voter discontent.The Bigger Picture Politics and voting behavior are more complex than any data series from a government website, and the …
Read More »RBA Holds Rates Steady, Signals Prolonged Tight Monetary Policy Amid Persistent Inflation
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.35% on Tuesday, reaffirming its commitment to restrictive monetary policy to address inflation concerns. The RBA emphasized that its top priority remains guiding inflation back within its 2-3% target range, though it refrained from committing to specific future …
Read More »Germany’s Manufacturing Sector Shows Signs of Stabilization Amid Continued Contraction
The decline in Germany’s manufacturing sector moderated in October, with the HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI edging up to 43.0 from September’s 40.6, marking a three-month high. However, this index, compiled by S&P Global, remains well below the neutral 50-point level, signaling ongoing contraction. Key Points from October PMI Data Output …
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