The EUR/USD pair considerably fell Friday, dropping below the 1.13 level as coronavirus infections in Europe are getting worse every day. Rising inflation combined with a deteriorating pandemic and ultra-dovish ECB policy, in terms of tapering stimulus are among multi factors leading to a lockdown inflation spiral, eventually getting out …
Read More »Looming Lockdowns Threaten Taper, Sink Eurozone Bonds
The looming return of lockdowns to contain Europe’s latest wave of Covid-19 cases poses risk on economic recovery and postponement of the timetable for the ECB’s wind down of emergency stimulus. Euro zone bond yields dropped on Friday and Germany’s entire yield curve fell into negative territory for the first …
Read More »T-Yields Drop On EU Lockdown Concerns
US bond yields experienced a sharp drop on Friday, the primary catalyst for which was a continued ramp up in concerns about lockdowns in Europe where Covid-19 infection and hospitalization rates continue to surge. The drop in bond yields coinciding rally in bond prices reflects a broader outperformance of safe-haven …
Read More »German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index Jumps in November
The German ZEW headline numbers for November showed that the Economic Sentiment Index unexpectedly improved to 31.7 from 22.3 previous while beating estimates of 19.0. The Current Conditions sub-index dropped to 12.5 in November as against 21.6 recorded in the previous month and 18.0 expectations.
Read More »German Exports Declined For The Second Month in a Row in September
Germany’s exports fell for a second straight month in September, while imports nearly stagnated, the statistics office said on Tuesday, in a new sign that supply chain disruptions are undermining the recovery of Europe’s largest economy. Seasonally adjusted exports fell 0.7% during the month to 112.3 billion euros ($129.75 billion), …
Read More »German Industrial Output to Fall Unexpectedly
German industrial output fell unexpectedly in September, as supply problems related to raw materials and commodities continued to affect production in Europe’s largest economy. Germany’s Federal Statistics Office said industrial output fell 1.1% month over month after an upwardly revised 3.5% drop in August. A Reuters poll had forecast industrial …
Read More »German Factory Orders Rebound in September
The German Factory Orders rebounded less than expected in September, suggesting that the recovery in the manufacturing sector of Europe’s economic powerhouse seems to be losing momentum. Contracts for goods ‘Made in Germany’ jumped 1.3% on the month vs. 2.0% expected and -7.7% last, the latest data published by the …
Read More »Coverage of Lagarde’s Press Conference
The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to leave the interest rates on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility, and the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50%, respectively, as was widely expected. Christine Lagarde, President of the Europen Central Bank (ECB), is delivering her remarks on the …
Read More »Germany: Annual HICP Rises to 4.6% in October
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 4.5% on a yearly basis in October from 4.1% in September. This reading came in higher than the market expectation of 4.4%. The annual Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), the European Central Bank’s preferred gauge of …
Read More »German Economy Ministry: 2021 GDP Forecast Lowered in April
Germany’s economy ministry announced on Wednesday that they have lowered the 2021 growth forecast to 2.6% from 3.5% reported in April, per Reuters. Raised 2022 GDP forecast to +4.1% from April forecast of +3.6%. Expecting GDP growth of +1.6% in 2023.
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