Ahead of Thursday’s key US Consumer Price Index data scheduled for New York’s morning session, the White House says tomorrow’s inflation data will show a high year-on-year figure.The White House states that its irrelevant month on month number will continue trending lower the rest of the year.The consensus in the …
Read More »US Inflation Expectations Grind Lower
Contrary to the positive surprise provided by the last week’s US NFP and jobs data, the US inflation profile expectations depict a downbeat scenario ahead of the key US Consumer Price Index data for January.The US inflation gauge, as measured by the 10-year breakeven inflation rate per the St. Louis …
Read More »Weekly Recap 31 Jan – 4 Feb
The US dollar ended last week’s trading with losses. The dollar index, which measures the US currency against a basket of major currencies, fell to 95.48 points, compared to 97.13 points posted last week. The Bank of England announced its monetary policy decision on Thursday and raised the benchmark interest …
Read More »Daly: Fed’s QT Could Still Support US Economy
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly on Monday noted that if the Federal Funds rate was to reach 1.25% by the end of the year, that would be quite a bit of tightening but still supportive of the economy. Seemingly, Daly is talking about the possibility of …
Read More »Weekly Recap 24-28 January
US Data released on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 1% during the fourth quarter, and 4% during the year. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out the quarterly increase was more restrained than Q3’s 1.3% gain, and they consider that may tamp down fears of a wage-price spiral …
Read More »FOMC likely to hike rates by 125 bps over the course of 2022
Market observers believe the FOMC will announce the commencement of balance sheet reduction at the July 27 meeting. They look for the Federal Reserve to hike the Fed Funds rate by 125 bps in 2022.It is likely that the Committee will hike rates by 25 bps at the March 16, …
Read More »US: Labor costs slow, but still rising at a scorching rate
Data released on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 1% during the fourth quarter, and 4% during the year. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out the quarterly increase was more restrained than Q3’s 1.3% gain, and they consider that may tamp down fears of a wage-price spiral amid …
Read More »Fed’s Kashkari Expects Fed To Raise Rates at March Meeting
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said on Friday that he expects the Fed to raise rates at the March meeting.With inflation higher and lasting longer than expected, the Federal Reserve needs to take its foot off the monetary gas pedal “a little bit” to address imbalances between …
Read More »Gold Retreats As Traders Digest Fed’s Statements
Gold was lower in midday markets on Wall Street, losing some 1.4% at $1,795. The price of gold fell from a high of $1,822.18 and had reached a low of $1,791.86. Equity markets initially bounced in the aftermath of the FOMC driven sell-off yesterday. However, they started to slide again …
Read More »USD/JPY Rallies For Second Day
The USD dollar marches firmly in the North American session, with the DXY surging 1.34%, above 97.00. The US dollar gains come on the back of the US central bank’s looming hike of interest rates, most probably in the March meeting.The USD/JPY pair is upward biased, though a break above …
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