St Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Friday said that he expects an upwards revision to the November NFP number, as this is a tight labour market. The US economy will be below 4% unemployment by Q1 2022, he added. Additional Comments:“Sticking with forecast for two rate hikes in …
Read More »USD Remains Resilient Despite Disappointing NFP
US Nonfarm Payrolls rose at a much slower pace than expected in November. However, an underwhelming print did little to undermine the USD. It will be very difficult to sell the USD as a thematic strategy given the global monetary policy setup. Fed’s hawkishness to be a significant offset to …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 2 Dec. 2021
The outlook for the US economy is still clouded by the emergence of Omicron strain, this may see the US’s renewed lockdown which would benefit the Swiss franc and other safe havens. Optimism is struggling to find its way through uncertainty ahead to global financial markets until Thursday’s session closing. …
Read More »Pre-NFP Support Helps USD/CHF Maintains Calm
USD/CHF found good support at its 200-day moving average for a third consecutive day on Thursday. The pair has been hovering just to the north at close to 0.9180 since Tuesday, during which time it has rolled within a fairly tight 0.9180-0.9220 range. The pair has been going sideways despite …
Read More »Jobs Data, Fed Speakers Push T-Yields Higher
US Treasury yields jumped higher on Thursday as investors returned to attractive riskier assets and Federal Reserve officials talked up a quicker end to the central bank’s bond purchases.The benchmark 10-year yield , which had fallen to as low as 1.409% earlier in the session, was last 2 basis points …
Read More »Fed’s Bostic pushes for ending QE taper sooner
Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, said on Thursday that he would push for getting the QE taper over with sooner rather than later. Additional Comments:“We do need to be tapering bond purchases, have served purpose.”“Tapering will provide more optionality in 2022 on interest rate liftoff.”“If …
Read More »EUR/USD Expected to Boom In 2022
The US dollar is expected to stay strong in 2022. EUR/USD and USD/JPY could trade at 1.10 and 120.00, respectively.Those expectations are based upon the idea that sharper Fed tightening cycle to push the dollar ahead. Assuming that Omicron risks play out closer to the benign end of the spectrum, …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 1-12-2021
US President Joe Biden’s administration will extend requirements for travelers to wear masks on airplanes, trains and buses and at airports and train stations through mid-March to address ongoing COVID-19 risks. A formal announcement extending the requirements through March 18 is expected on Thursday.The news adds to the Omicron-led risk …
Read More »UK Weighs COVID Impact On Recovery
The economic impact from the pandemic has gradually faded since the start of the world health crisis but still remains strong according to statements by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Wednesday, when asked how to assess news of the Omicron variant of coronavirus.Financial markets have pared back their …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 30-11-2021
Uncertainty Behind Volatile US Session Risk-aversion is increasingly becoming a key word in the market context. The US dollar firstly fell but changed course during US trading hours to reach weekly highs against most major rival currencies.Concerns around the coronavirus pandemic rotated during the first half of the day, with …
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