Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …
Read More »USD/CAD slumps On Ukraine’s conflict, Higher Oil Prices
The USD/CAD pair extends its fall for the second straight day; after Monday’s price action printed a weekly high near the 1.2600 mark, the Canadian dollar strengthened on the back of high oil prices, amid a downbeat market mood, courtesy of recent developments in the Eastern Europe front. the USD/CAD …
Read More »Fed’s George: Must move ‘expeditiously’ away from easy policy stance
The $9 trillion balance sheet will need to decline significantly, Kansas City Fed president saysKansas City Fed President Esther George Daniel Brenner/BloombergThe Federal Reserve must more swiftly away from its current monetary policy stance that is as easy as it has ever been at a time when inflation is well …
Read More »US ADP Employment Expectations As Job Creation Slows Down
While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »USD/CAD Unchanged Amid Improved Market Sentiment
The USD/CAD pair is flat during the North American session after a volatile Monday’s session, which pushed the pair towards a weekly high at 1.2592, retreating afterward towards the 1.2510 area. At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.2514.The geopolitical situation in Ukraine progressed, lifting the market …
Read More »Fed’s Harker: Interest rate hikes deliberate, methodical
Philadelphia Fed President and FOMC member Patrick Harker said on Tuesday that interest rate hikes are to be “deliberate” and “methodical”. Inflation is “far higher than … we are comfortable with” Harker said, caveating that “there are some signs in the data, and in what we hear from our contacts, …
Read More »S&P 500 climbs for third straight day as Tesla leads
The S&P 500 rose for a third day on Monday, as a sharp climb in shares of Tesla overshadowed weakness in energy and bank stocks, while Russia and Ukraine were poised to hold their first face-to-face peace talks in more than two weeks.The S&P energy index (.SPNY), off 2.56%, was …
Read More »The price of gold fell one percent as the dollar rose
Gold prices fell more than one percent on Monday after the US dollar rose. Treasury yields settled near multi-month highs as investors focused on potential peace talks between Russia and Ukraine dented gold’s safe-haven appeal. Spot gold prices fell 1.2 percent to $1,934.61. US gold futures fell one percent to …
Read More »Weekly Recap – 21-25 March
Geopolitics continued to impact the economic outlook throughout the previous week. Christine Lagarde emphasized the punitive measures were designed to target the regime, not the Russian people, while new “fiscal remedies are still needed” to stabilize Europe’s economy.Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February has fundamentally brought about deep economic …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 25 March
The US dollar climbed against its most major counterparts in the New York session on Friday, as US treasury yields rose amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy aggressively to curb high inflation.The benchmark yield on the 10-year treasury note spiked up to 2.462 percent. Yields …
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