In a recently published report, Moody’s Investors Service said that it expects the US Federal Reserve to take the policy rate to the range of 3.5-3.75% by the end of the year and above 4% by March 2023.The EUR/USD pair showed no immediate reaction to this report and was last …
Read More »Financial Markets’ Weekly Recap, July 25-29
US monetary policymakers opted a 75bps rate hike. Markets expected this move; a historically large hike. Jerome Powell explained that Fed would likely stop hiking once inflation is controlled. If unemployment rises, the job market weakens, and the US falls into a recession, Fed would ease policy due to lower …
Read More »Gold is heading for its best week in 5 months with weak dollar
Gold prices rose on Friday as the dollar and bond yields continued to decline in the wake of US economic data, setting the yellow metal on course for its best week in nearly five months. By 0616 GMT, gold in spot transactions increased 0.6 percent to $ 1766.08 an ounce. …
Read More »Fed expected to take rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022
The latest FOMC meeting raised the key interest rate by 75 basis points, as expected. Analysts stick with our forecast that the Fed will take the fed funds rate to a 3.25-3.50% by the end of this year, shifting to a 50 bps hike in September, followed by two consecutive …
Read More »US equities retreat following Fed-inspired surge
The stock market was slipping Thursday following its recent Fed-inspired surge after news headlines said that the US economy shrank for two successive quarter as any two consecutive quarters of declines in growth traditionally constitute a recessionThe Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 121.60 points, or 0.38%, at 32,075.99, the …
Read More »Biden: ‘No surprise, economy slowing down’ as economy enters technical recession
The United States enters technical recession as economy shrank 0.9% in Q2 following two successive quarters of negative GDP growth. President Biden reacted to Thursday’s GDP report, saying it is “no surprise that the economy is slowing down” amid inflation, despite saying earlier this week that the US would not …
Read More »When does a real recession begin?
This question normally weighs on consumers, politicians and investors around the world every time the US central bank decides interest rate hikes. Is the US economy in a recession? The reasonable answer, so far, is: “maybe”, in other words; it is “A Mix of Yes and No”. For many people, …
Read More »Gold rises to its highest level in 3 weeks as Dollar declines
Gold prices rose to a 3-week high on Thursday, July 28, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested the US central bank may slow the pace of interest rate hikes in the coming months, affecting the dollar and US Treasury yields. Spot gold rose 0.7% to $1,745.20 an ounce, its …
Read More »Yield curve flashing additional signals of recession risks
The US government bond market is sending new signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation will result in recession.While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said that he does not see the economy currently in a recession, spreads between different pairings of Treasury securities …
Read More »AUD/USD bulls welcome a less hawkish outcome at the Fed
The AUD/USD pair is moving through a critical level on the daily chart (see below) and has reached a high of 0.7000 following a dovish outcome at the Federal Reserve. AUD/USD has climbed by over 0.8% on the day so far from a low of 0.6911 to a high of …
Read More »