The United States enters technical recession as economy shrank 0.9% in Q2 following two successive quarters of negative GDP growth. President Biden reacted to Thursday’s GDP report, saying it is “no surprise that the economy is slowing down” amid inflation, despite saying earlier this week that the US would not …
Read More »When does a real recession begin?
This question normally weighs on consumers, politicians and investors around the world every time the US central bank decides interest rate hikes. Is the US economy in a recession? The reasonable answer, so far, is: “maybe”, in other words; it is “A Mix of Yes and No”. For many people, …
Read More »Gold rises to its highest level in 3 weeks as Dollar declines
Gold prices rose to a 3-week high on Thursday, July 28, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested the US central bank may slow the pace of interest rate hikes in the coming months, affecting the dollar and US Treasury yields. Spot gold rose 0.7% to $1,745.20 an ounce, its …
Read More »Yield curve flashing additional signals of recession risks
The US government bond market is sending new signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation will result in recession.While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said that he does not see the economy currently in a recession, spreads between different pairings of Treasury securities …
Read More »AUD/USD bulls welcome a less hawkish outcome at the Fed
The AUD/USD pair is moving through a critical level on the daily chart (see below) and has reached a high of 0.7000 following a dovish outcome at the Federal Reserve. AUD/USD has climbed by over 0.8% on the day so far from a low of 0.6911 to a high of …
Read More »USD/CAD keeps post-Fed losses, Eying US GDP
The USD/CAD pair remains pressured around six-week low, keeps Fed-inspired bearish bias despite oil’s pullback. Fears of US recession also recently poked bears even as Fed’s Powell favored sellers.USD/CAD bears approach 1.2800 while extending the post-Fed losses during Thursday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Canadian dollar ignores a pullback …
Read More »Powell: Households are in very strong shape
FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell is commenting on the policy outlook following the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise the policy rate by 75 basis points to the range of 2.25-2.5%.Key Quotes“We understand goal of soft landing is very challenging, has become more so in recent months”.“I am gratified that markets have …
Read More »Powell: US balance sheet reduction to gain momentum
FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell is commenting on the policy outlook following the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise the policy rate by 75 basis points to the range of 2.25-2.5%.Key Quotes“No one can be sure on whether we can achieve a soft landing”.“Balance sheet reduction is working fine, markets have accepted …
Read More »What Does Fed’s latest interest rate hike mean for US economy?
The latest 75-basis point rate hike from the Fed, decided on Wednesday, July 27, 2022, will make business debt of higher cost as the monthly payment on loans will be a bigger, if manageable, drain on cash flow.But higher debt interest payments are less significant for business owners than what …
Read More »Powell: We want to get to 3% to 3.5% by end-2022
FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell is commenting on the policy outlook following the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise the policy rate by 75 basis points to the range of 2.25-2.5%.Key Quotes“Our thinking is that we want to get to a moderately restrictive level by end of this year.”“That means 3% to …
Read More »