The EUR/USD pair dropped further and printed a fresh three-day low during the American session at 1.1026 as the US dollar gained momentum. The bias remains to the downside with the pair set to keep trimming weekly gains.The US dollar strengthened after the beginning of the American session as market …
Read More »Will NFP report tip the scales on the Fed’s decision in May?
Friday’s awaited report will be the final NFP data immediately before the next Fed meeting in early May, where traders are currently split between expecting a 25bps and a 50bps rate hike.It is like a problematic monetary policy riddle; how can a central bank raise interest rates, but be further …
Read More »Ahead of NFP Data, Bond Market Signaling Recession Warning
Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …
Read More »US ADP Employment Expectations As Job Creation Slows Down
While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »Australian dollar hits 19-week high
The Australian dollar hit a five-month high of $0.7443 before settling around $0.744 on Tuesday, as investors price the chances of the Reserve Bank of Australia catching up with the Federal Reserve’s tightening. Previous hawkish comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell put pressure on the Australian dollar, with Powell …
Read More »Solid Australian Employment Data Offer Support To AUD
Australian employment sped past expectations in February as activity recovered surprisingly quickly from an Omicron outbreak, driving unemployment down to lowest since 2008. The latest data do add to pressure for an early interest rate hike. Latest floods in New South Wales and Queensland have come after the February reference …
Read More »Canada’s Employment Data Justifies Another Rate Hike in April
Data released on Friday showed the Canadian economy created more than 300K jobs in February, much more than expected. The numbers from the report are more than enough justification for another rate hike in April from the Bank of Canada. It may have still been outside, but the Canadian labour …
Read More »USD/CAD Ignoring Softer Oil
The USD/CAD pair fades bounce off 10-DMA as markets brace for monthly jobs report. Hawkish hopes from the BOC, previous rally in oil prices favor bears.Russia-Ukraine tussles, firmer US Treasury yields challenge further downside. Canadian employment data may provide another reason for the BOC to extend its rate-hike trajectory.USD/CAD remains …
Read More »Strong Jobs Data Evidence COVID’s Fading Impact On US Economy
In a buoyant sign for the US economy, businesses stepped up their hiring last month as Omicron faded and more Americans ventured out to spend at restaurants, shops and hotels despite surging inflation.Employers added a robust 678,000 jobs in February, the largest monthly total since July, the Labor Department reported …
Read More »Wells Fargo: NFP, Employment Gains Robust
Employment data released on Friday came in above expectations, but it was mostly ignored by most investors, traders and market participants amid the ongoing Ukraine’s war. War fogs continue as the key market driver.Analysts at Wells Fargo believe that so long as the Russia-Ukraine conflict does not significantly escalate, the …
Read More »