The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, April 8 at 12:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 7 major banks regarding the upcoming US inflation print. …
Read More »US CPI Preview: Forecasts from 12 major banks, another lurch forward
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, April 8 at 12:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 12 major banks regarding the upcoming US inflation print. …
Read More »NFP Data Proves Win-Win For USD
The US economy gained 431000 jobs in March, on top of upward revisions and other upbeat data. There is nothing in the data suggesting that the Fed will refrain from a 50 bps rate hike. The US dollar is set to gain ground as traders take risks off the table …
Read More »US: ISM Manufacturing PMI falls to 57.1 in March
The headline ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) figure fell to 57.1 in March from 58.6 in February, a miss against expectations for a small rise to 59.0, according to the latest release by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). There was a sharp rise in the Price Paid subindex …
Read More »EUR/USD At Fresh Lows On Stronger US Dollar
The EUR/USD pair dropped further and printed a fresh three-day low during the American session at 1.1026 as the US dollar gained momentum. The bias remains to the downside with the pair set to keep trimming weekly gains.The US dollar strengthened after the beginning of the American session as market …
Read More »Will NFP report tip the scales on the Fed’s decision in May?
Friday’s awaited report will be the final NFP data immediately before the next Fed meeting in early May, where traders are currently split between expecting a 25bps and a 50bps rate hike.It is like a problematic monetary policy riddle; how can a central bank raise interest rates, but be further …
Read More »Ahead of NFP Data, Bond Market Signaling Recession Warning
Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …
Read More »US ADP Employment Expectations As Job Creation Slows Down
While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »Australian dollar hits 19-week high
The Australian dollar hit a five-month high of $0.7443 before settling around $0.744 on Tuesday, as investors price the chances of the Reserve Bank of Australia catching up with the Federal Reserve’s tightening. Previous hawkish comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell put pressure on the Australian dollar, with Powell …
Read More »Solid Australian Employment Data Offer Support To AUD
Australian employment sped past expectations in February as activity recovered surprisingly quickly from an Omicron outbreak, driving unemployment down to lowest since 2008. The latest data do add to pressure for an early interest rate hike. Latest floods in New South Wales and Queensland have come after the February reference …
Read More »