Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly on Monday noted that if the Federal Funds rate was to reach 1.25% by the end of the year, that would be quite a bit of tightening but still supportive of the economy. Seemingly, Daly is talking about the possibility of …
Read More »Weekly Recap 24-28 January
US Data released on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 1% during the fourth quarter, and 4% during the year. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out the quarterly increase was more restrained than Q3’s 1.3% gain, and they consider that may tamp down fears of a wage-price spiral …
Read More »Powell: There is a risk high inflation will be prolonged
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his usual post-Fed meeting press conference on Wednesday, said there is a risk high inflation will be prolonged, even though it’s not our base case. Additional Remarks:“We have to be able to address all plausible outcomes.”“We need to be in a position to address the …
Read More »Could Fed Announce US Economy’s Near Full Employment?
Federal Reserve officials have been emphasizing rapid progress in the labour market as they prepare to raise interest rates. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, is likely to talk about how the strong labour market might interact with inflation this year. Federal Reserve officials are expected to emphasize on Wednesday …
Read More »Wells Fargo Expects A Quieter Fed Meeting In January
The FOMC’s first meeting of the year is likely be a quieter affair than its December meeting, when the Committee accelerated its taper plans and outlined a more aggressive policy path for 2022. According to Wells Fargo, “there will not be a fresh Summary of Economic Projections, and we expect …
Read More »Fed’s Evans expects four rate hikes in 2022 if inflation doesn’t abate
Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said on Thursday that three rate hikes in 2022 would be a good “opening bid”, though it could be four if inflation doesn’t improve fast enough.Evans added that he is reluctant to declare that the US has reached full employment, but that inflation is …
Read More »What to Expect From US Employment Data?
Markets are awaiting the release of US employment data during December at 13:30 GMT. This data will be necessary given its strong impact on the dollar and the currency market movements. Markets expect to add 400,000 jobs in December, compared to 210,000 jobs previously recorded. Expectations also indicate a decline …
Read More »Could NFP Data Ignite More Hawkish US Policy?
The financial markets’ traditionally favorite US economic statistic has been dethroned, and new classes of data became of higher importance. For the next several quarters, the main role of Nonfarm Payrolls will be to support, reinforce and confirm the Federal Reserve’s new policy which is highly sensitive to inflation. Short …
Read More »How Have Assets, Markets Reacted To FOMC Minutes?
The US dollar edged lower for most of Wednesday, but eventually received an unexpected boost from the US Federal Reserve’s Meeting Minutes. Fed policymakers noted that “In light of elevated inflation pressures and the strengthening labor market, participants judged that the increase in policy accommodation provided by the ongoing pace …
Read More »FOMC Minutes: Conditions For Rate Hike Could Be Met Soon
The minutes of the 14-15 December FOMC meeting, released on Wednesday, said most participants judged conditions for rate hike could be met soon. According to FOMC Minutes, recent high levels of inflation will raise the public’s longer-term inflation expectations to levels higher than those consistent with the committee’s longer-run inflation …
Read More »