Employment in the US private sector fell by 301,000 in January, monthly data published by the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute revealed on Wednesday, marking only the second month-on-month drop in employment since April 2020 when the US first went into lockdown. That was a huge miss on consensus …
Read More »Bullard: Will Fed have to become more restrictive?
St Louis Fed President James Bullard on Tuesday said that he thinks it an open question whether the Fed will have to become more restrictive (i.e. raise rates above the “neutral” 2.0%-2.5% zone). Additional Quotes:“We will be able to assess our position in a few months’ time.”“I think it’s premature …
Read More »More Insight On Tuesday’s ISM Data
US manufacturing sector slowed in January; but employment surged. A measure of US manufacturing activity fell to a 14-month low in January amid an outbreak of COVID-19 infections, supporting views that economic growth lost steam at the start of the year.The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Tuesday that …
Read More »US ‘ISM Manufacturing PMI’ falls in January below expectations
ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to its weakest since November 2020 in January at 57.6. The Employment subindex hit its highest since last March. According to a survey compiled by the Institute of Supply Management, US Manufacturing PMI fell to 57.6 in January from 58.7 in December. That was a little …
Read More »Fed’s Barkin: Rate Hikes Pace Depends On Inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said, Monday, that he would like the Fed to get better positioned. “How fast we go depends on how the economy develops, he added, saying also that the pace of rate hikes will depend on the pace of inflation. I’d like us …
Read More »Fed’s Bostic Expects Three Rate Hikes In 2022
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic on Monday said that he expects three rate hikes in 2022, in a reiteration of remarks made over the weekend. He clarified that a 50bps move in March was not the Fed’s preferred policy action and that the Fed is not fixed …
Read More »Daly: Fed’s QT Could Still Support US Economy
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly on Monday noted that if the Federal Funds rate was to reach 1.25% by the end of the year, that would be quite a bit of tightening but still supportive of the economy. Seemingly, Daly is talking about the possibility of …
Read More »Weekly Recap 24-28 January
US Data released on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 1% during the fourth quarter, and 4% during the year. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out the quarterly increase was more restrained than Q3’s 1.3% gain, and they consider that may tamp down fears of a wage-price spiral …
Read More »Powell: There is a risk high inflation will be prolonged
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his usual post-Fed meeting press conference on Wednesday, said there is a risk high inflation will be prolonged, even though it’s not our base case. Additional Remarks:“We have to be able to address all plausible outcomes.”“We need to be in a position to address the …
Read More »Could Fed Announce US Economy’s Near Full Employment?
Federal Reserve officials have been emphasizing rapid progress in the labour market as they prepare to raise interest rates. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, is likely to talk about how the strong labour market might interact with inflation this year. Federal Reserve officials are expected to emphasize on Wednesday …
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