One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession is shining brighter. The yield curve is watched for clues to how the bond market is feeling about the US economy’s long-term prospects. Should Markets Panic?Fed Chair Jerome Powell would say no. Last week, he said that he pays …
Read More »Ahead of NFP Data, Bond Market Signaling Recession Warning
Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …
Read More »Biden announces US 2023 Budget
US President Joe Biden announces his Budget for Fiscal Year 2023. This is expected to reduce deficits by more than $1 Trillion over the next decade, advance safety and security at home and around the world, and make the investments needed to build a better America.The Biden administration on Monday …
Read More »BoE Expects UK Energy Shock Similar To The 1970s
Consumers and businesses will come under severe pressure from cost of living squeeze, according to BoE governor Andrew Bailey says: ‘The shock from energy prices this year will be larger than any single year in the 1970s”, Bailey added. Britain’s economy is expected to suffer a growth slowdown amid the …
Read More »Eurozone growth slows as Ukraine war threatens recovery
Business activity in the eurozone slowed in March, according to a closely watched survey, as high prices and a gloomy outlook raised fears the Ukraine war could snuff out economic recovery.Thursday’s data indicated that while Europe was still growing at a solid pace after the lows of the coronavirus pandemic, …
Read More »Fred’s Bullard: US economy will continue to grow above trend 2022-2023
St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, who on Friday called for a dramatic increase in the Fed’s overnight lending rate to more than 3% this year, is crossing the wires with the following comments dripping through:Key Qoutes: Russia’s war will mean less globalization, more fragmentation around the worldDirect macroeconomic …
Read More »US companies’ revenue impacted by slower growth in China
China’s economic growth is forecast to slow amid fresh coronavirus outbreaks, denting profits for US firms. But disruptions to Chinese manufacturing could steer factory orders to Southeast Asia.US companies stand to earn less this year in China as growth slows in the world’s second largest economy. Slowing growth in the …
Read More »USD Extends Losses To Test Two-Week Low
The DXY Index has accelerated its reversal from the 99.30 area to test two-week lows at 97.80. The USD drops across the board after Fed’s monetary policy decision. Upbeat employment and construction data have failed to cheer USD buyers.The US dollar is losing ground across the board on Thursday. The …
Read More »FOMC Summary: A Potential Collision On The Horizon
Coincident measures of real growth continue to slowly march lower on a trending basis. Leading indicators of real growth show no signs of an imminent inflection higher in growth. Jerome Powell was extremely hawkish after raising interest rates 0.25%.The yield curve flattened massively in response to slowing growth and an …
Read More »GBP/USD Recovers Despite BoE’s Dovishness
The GBP/USD pair has recovered from post-BoE lows in the 1.3100s and is back in the green above 1.3150. The pair hasn’t yet been able to get back to pre-BoE levels at 1.3200 as traders mull the dovish meeting.BoE dovishness coupled with headwinds to the global economy as a result …
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