The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday, June 10 at 12:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of four major banks regarding the upcoming US inflation print. …
Read More »USD/CAD Risks Impact of robust growth, aggressive tightening
Analysts at Wells Fargo expect a more extended series of 50 basis points interest rate increases from the Bank of Canada in July, September and October meetings. They see risks tilted towards a stronger Canadian dollar than their existing USD/CAD exchange rate target of 1.2500.Key Quotes: “The solid growth and …
Read More »BoC’s Beaudry: BoC might need to take rates to 3.0% or higher
Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry on Thursday said that the BoC sees an increasing likelihood that it may need to raise its policy rate to 3% or higher. Key Comments:The risk is now greater that inflation expectations could de-anchor and high inflation could become entrenched. The BoC must …
Read More »IMF Managing Director: We do not expect a global recession
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Monday that the tightening of financial conditions, the rise of the dollar and the slowdown in China’s economy are all factors affecting the global economy, but the IMF does not expect a global recession. “All of these factors make ratings downgrades …
Read More »T-yields surge as investors eye clues on Fed plans
US Treasury yields surged at the long end on Wednesday after the prior day’s rally as investors awaited greater clarity on the “restrictive” policy the Federal Reserve plans to pursue next week to combat inflation by curbing economic growth.This week a lot of the price action you’ve seen in bonds …
Read More »Could US Real GDP growth in Q1 turn out to be negative?
On Thursday, the first estimate of US GDP growth will be released. Analysts at Wells Fargo, expect a 0.6% annualized growth rate. They point out that although the economy does not appear on the cusp of another downturn, the probability of a recession next year is not insignificant. Key Quotes: …
Read More »U.S. Economic Growth Slowed Further in March — Chicago Fed
The US economy expanded in March, but growth softened compared with the previous month, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago showed Monday.The Chicago Fed National Activity Index decreased to 0.44 in March from a revised 0.54 in February. The reading is above the 0.40 consensus forecast from economists. …
Read More »Slowdown warnings flash for UK economy as inflation surges
The UK economy is heading for a slowdown, or possibly even a recession, as consumers and businesses are hit by the leap in inflation, higher taxes, rising interest rates and uncertainty caused by the war in Ukraine.Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday the BoE was walking a …
Read More »BoE’s Bailey: Scale of real income shock will cause slowdown in UK growth
Western countries should not appease Russia following its invasion of Ukraine even if there are difficult economic consequences, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday. “What Russia is doing in Ukraine is appalling,” Bailey said at a discussion in Washington hosted by the Peterson Institute for International Economics.“My …
Read More »White House: Strong GDP Growth In 2022
The White House sees more risks to US economic activity in the months ahead thanks to rising prices and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but still expects healthy GDP growth in 2022.A senior administration official said inflation, caused in part by Russia’s attack on Ukraine, and supply chain hiccups are additional …
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