With central banks having already said their piece, seasonal, valuation and positioning still looks favorable for the USD. On these measures, the CHF looks vulnerable to a reversal.CHF could be a major laggard in the coming weeks, yet the CHF is the most overloved currency on most positioning dashboard. It …
Read More »Powell and Lagarde to markets: Hold your rate horses
All expectations that tightening signals by BoC and RBA would push the world’s biggest monetary policy actors to accelerate their own timelines for rate hikes ran into a wall with the U. S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank saying they would not hike interest rates so fast.Rate futures and …
Read More »ECB Leaves Key Rates Unchanged
The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to leave the interest rates on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50%, respectively, as was widely expected.
Read More »ECB: Forecasts From Nine Major Banks
USD/TRY leap The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision this Thursday at 11:45 GMT, which will be followed by the post-meeting press conference at 12:30 GMT. here are the expectations as forecast by the economists and researchers of nine major banks. ING “Updating the …
Read More »Eurozone banks raise bar for mortgages in Q3
A European Central Bank survey showed on Tuesday that Eurozone banks tightened access to mortgages in the three months to September and expect to continue the same rule in the Q4 of 2021.ECB policymakers are set to take stock of the economic situation at a meeting on Thursday, paving the …
Read More »EUR/USD retreats on Eurozone economy expectations
The EUR/USD has been trading on a bullish trend throughout the last two weeks, with an increase from 1.1520s to 1.1660s, although this climb was more of a reaction of the larger downtrend, and it seems to have ended now.The US economy is speeding up again, as it enters another …
Read More »Lane: Markets haven’t fully absorbed forward guidance
ECB chief economist Philip Lane said on Tuesday that it is challenging to reconcile the market rate pricing with forward guidance.According to Lane, market expectations for future interest rates do not square with the European Central Bank’s guidance for no hike until inflation is seen stably at 2%.“When you look …
Read More »Fresh attempt to change Eurozone’s rules
Later Monday, the European Commission will officially start consultation and discussion on whether and how to reform the Eurozone’s fiscal rules.Over the past 20 years the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) has been one of the most contentious pillars of the monetary union. Despite all current shortages in the global …
Read More »Lagarde: ECB to zoom in on inflation expectations
The European Central Bank is closely watching inflation expectations and wage developments as predicting the length of disruptions caused the economy’s post-pandemic reopening is difficult, ECB President Christine Lagarde said. “We should not overreact to supply shortages or rising energy prices, as our monetary policy cannot directly affect those phenomena”, …
Read More »EUR/USD retreats back to the 1.1600 ahead of Lagarde’s speech
The EUR/USD pair has reversed part of recent gains and returned to 1.1600. Sellers returned to the market and forced EUR/USD to abandon the area of recent highs and refocus once again on the 1.1600 hereabouts.After two successive daily pullbacks, the EUR/USD pair now trades on the defensive and hovers …
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