The European Central Bank (ECB) is grappling with a growing divide among policymakers regarding the economic outlook. While some fear a looming recession, others remain concerned about persistent inflation pressures. This divergence is likely to shape the rate cut debate for months to come, as the eurozone economy navigates a …
Read More »EUR/USD Tug-of-War Face Tug of War Between Fed, ECB
The global economic recovery stumbles forward, shadowed by the ghost of the pandemic and the dark clouds of geopolitical tensions. In this uncertain landscape, the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the US Dollar (USD) has become a fascinating battleground. Two central banks, the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the …
Read More »EUR/USD: Rate Cuts, Economic Uncertainty in Volatile Dance
The Euro has faced a tumultuous week, with its value against the US Dollar fluctuating significantly. This volatility can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy stance, economic indicators, and market sentiment. The EUR/USD pair is trading at 1.1128 at the time …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, August 21
The US Dollar continued its downward trend, reaching levels last seen in late December 2023. This decline was primarily fueled by growing expectations for a September interest rate cut, as indicated by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. Key Economic Events:Jackson Hole : This influential economic gathering kicks off …
Read More »Is Eurozone Encountering a Deep Investment Crisis?
Businesses are delaying some of their investments in the Eurozone, and output is declining. Two recent reports from the ECB provide an assessment of the issue. The majority of Eurozone businesses are delaying investments. The European Central Bank refers to a “gloomy outlook and a historic low” in its most …
Read More »EUR/USD recovers from daily lows on softer DXY ahead of FOMC decision
In addition to giving up previous gains, the EUR/USD pair was trading lower at 1.0805 during Wednesday’s second half of the day. With a -0.18% decline and a current value of 104.263, the DXY Index is in negative territory. DXY is impacted by disappointing US private sector job data, which …
Read More »Will BoE Cut Interest Rate In August?
It is like a coin toss when the Bank of England decides on interest rates next week. The market is not as sure as most analysts that a rate cut will occur next week. There is disagreement among the members of the central bank’s policymaking committee; some support lowering interest …
Read More »Eurozone Business activity halted on surprise German decline
S&P Global composite PMI fell to 50.1 in July, attributed to the lack of growth of business activity in Germany and France. Eurozone business activity grinds to a halt amid surprise slump in Germany. Eurozone private-sector activity barely grew this month as its top economy Germany unexpectedly slumped, the latest …
Read More »Can Fed, ECB Fully Adjust Their Monetary Strategies?
The Federal Reserve introduced flexible average inflation targeting (FAIT) in 2019-20 to improve performance in a low interest rate world. The Fed believed it had a problem with low inflation, as its preferred measure of inflation had averaged just over 1.5% between 2010 and 2019. The review committing the central …
Read More »Market Drivers: US Session – July 19
ECB Policy Decision, USD Gains Momentum: The European Central Bank (ECB) adhered to market expectations by leaving its policy rates unchanged. President Christine Lagarde’s remarks also failed to surprise investors. However, the US dollar (USD) regained strength, fueled by rising yields ahead of key Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers scheduled for …
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