It is like a coin toss when the Bank of England decides on interest rates next week. The market is not as sure as most analysts that a rate cut will occur next week. There is disagreement among the members of the central bank’s policymaking committee; some support lowering interest …
Read More »Eurozone Business activity halted on surprise German decline
S&P Global composite PMI fell to 50.1 in July, attributed to the lack of growth of business activity in Germany and France. Eurozone business activity grinds to a halt amid surprise slump in Germany. Eurozone private-sector activity barely grew this month as its top economy Germany unexpectedly slumped, the latest …
Read More »Can Fed, ECB Fully Adjust Their Monetary Strategies?
The Federal Reserve introduced flexible average inflation targeting (FAIT) in 2019-20 to improve performance in a low interest rate world. The Fed believed it had a problem with low inflation, as its preferred measure of inflation had averaged just over 1.5% between 2010 and 2019. The review committing the central …
Read More »Market Drivers: US Session – July 19
ECB Policy Decision, USD Gains Momentum: The European Central Bank (ECB) adhered to market expectations by leaving its policy rates unchanged. President Christine Lagarde’s remarks also failed to surprise investors. However, the US dollar (USD) regained strength, fueled by rising yields ahead of key Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers scheduled for …
Read More »Euro Continues to Slide After ECB’s Policy Meeting
The euro has been on a downward trend since the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to keep interest rates unchanged last Thursday. The euro/dollar pair fell to 1.0900 from its previous close of 1.0935. ECB Policy DecisionThe ECB’s decision to maintain the deposit rate at 3.75% was in line with …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, July 17
The US Dollar declined to new four-month lows due to additional foreign exchange (FX) intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), stronger expectations of rate cuts, and improved sentiment in risk-related assets.On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to keep its policy rates unchanged, with investors closely monitoring …
Read More »No ECB’s surprise rate cut in July as focus shifts to September
In July, there won’t be any surprise rate cut, and all eyes are now on September. Following the June rate cut, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged during its July meeting. Policymakers emphasize that the June cut does not imply a linear reduction in …
Read More »Political uncertainty boosts case for ECB’s September interest rate cut
Following the relatively data-insensitive June rate cut, European Central Bank (ECB) speakers have stood firm on the message of data-dependency. Next week’s ECB meeting likely to take stock of the available data and compare it to the latest forecast.Possible rate cut in September Following the relatively data-insensitive June rate cut, …
Read More »Markets’ Weekly Recap: Bets continue on a US rate cut sooner than expected
The financial markets witnessed many developments during the trading week ending on Friday, July 5, 2024, in terms of major currencies, American and international stocks, commodities, and other most prominent traded assets, and in this weekly report we attempt to monitor the most important developments.Markets were mixed this week, with …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, July 2
With another session of quiet trading activity across the FX sector, the US dollar moved marginally defensively. At their discussion panel at the ECB Forum, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde left no space for surprises in the interim. Investors are bracing themselves for a plethora of …
Read More »