The European Central Bank is targeting 2% inflation and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said ”it will take a while to return to 2% inflation.”Earlier in December, Nagel was quoted saying that the ECB should start reducing its large holdings of government debt in the first quarter of next year as …
Read More »Obvious message by major central banks: Tightening to stay for longer
Berenberg Bank on Friday adjusted its terminal rate forecasts in light of the developments of the last 48 hours, adding an additional 25 basis point rate hike for the Fed in 2023, taking the peak to a range between 5% and 5.25% over the course of the first three meetings …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session 15/12/2022
The US dollar is reaping the fruit of the hawkish stance adopted by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell, reacting late to the US Fed’s decision.The dollar soared to fresh weekly highs against most major rival currencies, ending the day with substantial gains amid a risk-averse environment. The dollar rallied since …
Read More »EUR/GBP surges on dovish BoE, hawkish ECB
The Euro is soaring more than 100 pips against the Pound Sterling. ECB’s Lagarde opened the door for further 50 bps rate hikes in subsequent meetings. At the time of writing, the Euro has gained traction against the Pound Sterling (GBP) and is trading at 0.8705, above its opening price …
Read More »Will Fed step down pace of interest rate hiking?
Tomorrow is Jerome Powell’s last FOMC speech for 2022. The Federal Reserve has previously signaled a general tendency to step down the pace of interest rate hikes upon concluding its two-day meeting on Wednesday, with extensive expectations of a half-point rate hike to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Nevertheless, …
Read More »EUR/USD benefits from weaker US dollar ahead of CPI data, policy decisions
The US Consumer Price Index is expected to be cooler. Sliding CPI data is in the favour of the Euro, due to less hawkish tightening anticipated the Federal Reserve.The awaited CPI data will be released on Tuesday, estimates refer to falling from 7.7% in the previous month’s reading to a …
Read More »EUR/USD higher ahead of Fed, ECB policy decisions
EUR/USD is firmly higher on Thursday due to diminishing expectations for the Fed to keep raising interest rates at the same aggressive pace. A rise in weekly jobless claims suggests that the labour market is slowing down. EUR/USD is currently 0.38% higher having rallied from a low of 1.0489 to …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session 06/12/2022
Uncertainty is prevalent regarding the Fed’s intentions that will unfold after FOMC meeting, later in December. Fed officials hinted at an easing pace of quantitative tightening starting as soon as this month, despite signs of easing inflation, but doubts are increasing lest the economy should fall in long-lasting recession.ECB’s Constantinos …
Read More »EUR/USD retreats despite positive Factory Orders in Germany
Trade Balance data in the United States has indicated shows the deficit widening, a headwind for the US Dollar. Germany’s Factory Orders helped the Euro to hold buoyant amid low expectations, while December’s monetary policy meetings by the Fed and the ECB will help to keep the EUR/USD pair within …
Read More »German Factory Orders jump 0.8% MoM in October
The German Factory Orders surprised markets to the upside in October, suggesting that the manufacturing sector activity is staging a modest recovery. Contracts for goods ‘Made in Germany’ jumped 0.8% on the month vs. -0.2% expected and -4.0% last, the latest data published by the Federal Statistics Office showed on …
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