Bulgaria’s path to euro adoption, scheduled for January 2026, and Ukraine’s pursuit of EU integration, particularly its June 2025 bilateral screening on economic and monetary policy, form the cornerstone of their evolving partnership. Bulgaria’s fiscal discipline, with a 2025 deficit of 2.8% and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 25.1%, aligns with …
Read More »EUR/GBP Slips as Eurozone Inflation Signals ECB Rate Cut
The EUR/GBP pair is under pressure, sliding toward the 0.8400 psychological level as Eurozone inflation data fuels expectations of a dovish European Central Bank (ECB) policy shift. Released on Tuesday, May 2025, preliminary figures show core inflation cooling, pushing the ECB closer to a rate cut at its Thursday meeting. …
Read More »Weekly Recap: Global Markets Navigate Trade Tensions, Inflation Trends, and Policy Shifts (May 26 – 30)
The week ending June 1, 2025, was marked by significant volatility across global markets, driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, cooling inflation data in Europe and the U.S., and policy uncertainties impacting currencies, commodities, and equities. From European markets rallying on ECB rate cut expectations to Japan’s bond market turmoil …
Read More »Lagarde’s Data Dance: ECB Cuts, But Future Unclear
The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced a 25 basis point reduction in its policy rate, bringing the deposit rate to 2.50%. This decision signals a shift in the ECB’s assessment of its monetary policy, with the central bank now viewing its stance as “becoming meaningfully less restrictive.” This suggests …
Read More »EUR/USD Under Pressure Amid Tariff Row, Monetary Policy Speculations
The EUR/USD exchange rate has recently weakened, approaching the 1.0450 level, pressured by a confluence of interwoven factors. A key driver is the strengthening US dollar, bolstered by the Federal Reserve’s unwavering commitment to a restrictive monetary policy. Comments from Fed officials suggest no immediate policy adjustments are anticipated, reinforcing …
Read More »European Government Bonds Decline Amid Security Spending Speculation
Bond Market Update: German 30-year bond yields: +8 basis points to 2.76% France and UK bond yields: Also increasing, following a similar trend to Germany. This decline in longer-dated European government bonds comes amid speculation about increased security spending in Europe, potentially following a high-level meeting in Paris between EU …
Read More »Euro Slides Post-NFP Report as Dollar Strengthens, Tariff Threats Loom
The EUR/USD pair fell to near 1.0360 on Friday following the release of stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data for January. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to around 107.90 as a result. While job growth was lower than anticipated at 143,000 (compared to the expected 170,000 and the revised …
Read More »ECB’s Centeno Signals Potential for Sub-Neutral Interest Rates to Combat Deflation Risk
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Mario Centeno has raised concerns about the growing risk of deflationary pressures within the Eurozone. He suggested that the ECB may need to lower interest rates below the neutral level to ensure inflation reaches and remains at the 2% target. Centeno stressed …
Read More »Gold Retreats from Record Highs as Dollar Soars on Trump Tariffs
Gold prices fell on Monday, pulling back from record highs as the U.S. dollar surged following President Donald Trump’s new trade tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. Market Reaction: Spot gold dropped 0.7% to $2,780.56 per ounce Gold futures (April contract) declined 0.8% to $2,810.30 per ounce Spot gold had …
Read More »Gold Holds Near Record High Amid Trade Tariff Uncertainty
Gold prices remained steady on Friday, hovering near record highs as safe-haven demand surged due to uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs and cautious sentiment ahead of key U.S. inflation data. Spot gold was unchanged after touching a record peak of $2,799.60 per ounce. Gold Futures (February) rose 0.1% to $2,793.74 per …
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