In July, there won’t be any surprise rate cut, and all eyes are now on September. Following the June rate cut, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged during its July meeting. Policymakers emphasize that the June cut does not imply a linear reduction in …
Read More »Markets’ Weekly Recap: Bets continue on a US rate cut sooner than expected
The financial markets witnessed many developments during the trading week ending on Friday, July 5, 2024, in terms of major currencies, American and international stocks, commodities, and other most prominent traded assets, and in this weekly report we attempt to monitor the most important developments.Markets were mixed this week, with …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, July 1: Markets Await Speeches by Powell, Lagarde
Before Fed Chair Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde speak on Tuesday, the US dollar recovered from a negative start to the week amid growing prudence and a generalized desire for risk.CurrenciesAfter losing two straight sessions, the USD Index (DXY) turned its attention back to the crucial 106.00 level. J. …
Read More »Lagarde: ECB could wait several meetings between rate cuts
ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are not on a linear downwards path and that policymakers could wait more than one meeting before cutting them again. Markets now expect little more than one rate cut over the four remaining policy meetings this year and between 3 and 4 …
Read More »What can markets expect from ECB’s rate decision?
Based on recent signals from central bank officials that the economy qualifies monetary authorities for this option, the ECB is widely expected to cut rates at its meeting, on Thursday, June 6.If this forecast comes to pass, it will be the first European cut for lending interest since 2016 and …
Read More »US Presidential Election Risks Surfacing in Forex Space
Even though election day is nearly six months away, Forex markets have begun factoring in increased foreign exchange volatility around the US vote on November 5. With the difference between the six- and three-month implied volatility for the Chinese offshore yuan skyrocketing for a second day, options traders are concerned …
Read More »ECB’s Nagel: Eurozone price pressures could continue for some time
In an interview on Wednesday, European Central Bank policymaker and Bundesbank Chief Joachim Nagel said that price pressures in the Eurozone could continue for some time, per Reuters.“It’s not completely clear if the inflation rate will reach 2% target next year and stay at this level,” Nagel added and noted …
Read More »Financial Markets’ Weekly Recap: Jobs Data Renews Speculation on Interest Rate Path
The past trading week witnessed remarkable fluctuations coinciding with the beginning of the second quarter of the year 2024, as strong US economic data raised speculation about the ability of the US Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates and when it might make such a decision. The week concluded with …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, March 19
The US Dollar continued its recent strength, pushing the USD Index (DXY) above 104.00 earlier on Tuesday, though the gain was short-lived and it was last seen at 103.871. All eyes are now focusing on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later Wednesday, along with their economic projections and Chair …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, February 14
The US Dollar retreated after a strong rebound on Tuesday due to CPI, easing the pressure in the risk-linked universe. The USD Index (DXY) fell from multi-week highs near the 105.00 barrier due to uneven improvement in the risk complex.Economic DataRetail Sales, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Industrial Production, the …
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