Bank of England external Monetary Policy Committee member Michael Saunders said on Monday that he is uncomfortable with where inflation expectations currently are and that interest rates below 1.0% are clearly below the neutral rate in the UK.Interest rates in the UK might need to go above neutral if inflation …
Read More »GBP/USD retreats post-BoE’s rate hike, recession concerns
The British sterling retreated on Thursday after the Bank of England hiked 25-bps interest rates in a 6-3 split decision. However, the UK central bank’s projections of a probable UK recession in 2023 shifted sentiment negatively, spurring a 280-pip drop from near weekly highs from 1.2630s to below 1.2350. At …
Read More »European Central Bank Preview
For the ECB, the latest Eurozone data provide a discomforting combination of record-high inflation and slow first-quarter growth. The level and widespread nature of the former are forcing the central bank to act, and markets are now pricing in 90 bp of rate hikes this year, although the latter provides …
Read More »BoE Preview: Forecasts From Four Major Banks
Wells Fargo “For May, the consensus forecast (and Wells Fargo forecast) is for the BoE to deliver another 25 bps hike, which would take the policy rate to 1.00%. We expect the BoE’s economic projection to include an upward revision to its CPI inflation forecast and a downward revision to …
Read More »BoE sketches out lighter regime for small banks
Banks in Britain with no more than 15 billion pounds ($19 billion) in assets could benefit from lighter capital requirements given they would pose less of a risk to financial stability if they went bust, the Bank of England said on Friday.Britain’s departure from the European Union makes it possible …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 26 April
Forex trade was again dominated by risk-off on Tuesday, with the safe-haven yen and US dollar’s outperforming, as US equities cratered. Investors and traders cited everything from economic and military tensions between Russia and the NATO to China lockdown risk and worsening global growth expectations in addition to the anticipated …
Read More »Weekly Recap 18-22 April 2022
Hot inflation, recession-related concerns and quantitative tightening continued to be the major key words dominating financial markets throughout the week as central bankers ponder coming changes of policy based upon the available data particularly the labour market developments. New U.S. jobless claims fell slightly to 184,000 in mid-April and stayed …
Read More »Slowdown warnings flash for UK economy as inflation surges
The UK economy is heading for a slowdown, or possibly even a recession, as consumers and businesses are hit by the leap in inflation, higher taxes, rising interest rates and uncertainty caused by the war in Ukraine.Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday the BoE was walking a …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 21 April
Risk-off trading conditions, triggered by soaring US yields amid hawkish Fed language, led US equities to retreat on Thursday and the safe-haven US dollar has the chance to outperform, against its more risk-sensitive G10 peers mainly the other non-US dollars. The Dollar Index reversed an earlier dip below the 100.00 …
Read More »US Dollar Benefits From Hawkish Fed Language, Euro In Demand
Risk-off trading conditions, triggered in part by a rise in US yields amid hawkish Fed rhetoric, saw US equities dip on Thursday and the safe-haven US dollar outperform, especially against its more risk-sensitive G10 peers like the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars. The US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed an …
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