Market Analysis

June, 2025

  • 9 June 2025 1:47 am

    Weekly Recap: Dollar Roars Back on Jobs Data Testing Euro’s Rally and Gold’s Resilience

    Weekly Recap

    Labour Market Powers Dollar Surge Robust U.S. jobs data for May 2025, with 139,000 jobs added, underscores economic strength despite tariff headwinds. Healthcare and leisure sectors drove gains, adding 62,000 and 48,000 jobs, respectively, while manufacturing shed 8,000, hinting at trade pressures. The unemployment rate held at 4.2%, among the …

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  • 5 June 2025 11:49 pm

    USD Faces Downside Risks as NFP Data Looms

    The US dollar teeters near multi-month lows, trading around 98.5, as markets await the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on June 6, 2025. Weak economic signals, escalating trade tensions, and federal job cuts paint a bearish picture for the USD. A disappointing NFP could lock in expectations of a Federal Reserve …

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  • 5 June 2025 8:06 pm

    EUR/USD Retreats as ECB Signals Policy Pause

    The EUR/USD pair recently pulled back from a multi-week high near 1.1500, trading at 1.143 with a modest 0.13% gain. This correction follows remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, signaling the ECB may pause its year-long rate-cutting cycle. Meanwhile, optimism about improving US-China relations has bolstered the …

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  • 5 June 2025 12:56 pm

    Oil Prices Slip as U.S. Fuel Stockpiles Rise, Saudi Price Cuts Add Pressure

    Oil prices fell in Asian trade on Thursday, extending losses from the previous session as rising U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories raised fresh concerns about fuel demand, while a price cut from top exporter Saudi Arabia signaled potential softness in global consumption. At 23:14 ET (03:14 GMT), Brent crude futures …

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  • 5 June 2025 1:07 am

    The Euro’s Moment? Weak US Data and ECB Action Set the Stage

    The euro strengthened against the US dollar, with the EUR/USD pair climbing above 1.14. This shift came amidst a backdrop of softening economic data from the United States and escalating trade tensions. The confluence of these factors has prompted a reassessment of monetary policy expectations on both sides of the …

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  • 4 June 2025 11:30 pm

    Post ADP Data: USD/JPY Decline Highlights Yen’s Strength, Economic Shifts

    The Japanese Yen is gaining momentum against a faltering US Dollar, with the USD/JPY pair dropping below 143.00, a key psychological level, signaling a shift in currency market dynamics. Driven by US economic weakness and rising trade tensions, the Yen’s safe-haven status is fueling its rise. As central banks pursue …

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  • 4 June 2025 11:17 pm

    Uncertainty Fuels Gold’s Surge as US Data Signals Slowdown

    Rising amidst economic headwinds, gold has once again demonstrated its traditional role as a safe-haven asset. Recent economic indicators from the United States, alongside escalating trade tensions, have fueled a notable rally in bullion prices, pushing gold to 3,382 after touching a daily low of 3,343. This upward movement comes …

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  • 4 June 2025 10:54 pm

    Explainer: What Implications China’s Economic Slowdown Could Have On World Markets

    China’s economy, the world’s second-largest, is faltering, sending ripples of concern through global markets. Beijing’s reduced transparency, with sparse data revealing declining land sales, slowing GDP growth, and rising unemployment, underscores a weakening economic engine. Despite glimmers of recovery in the property sector, structural issues and escalating trade tensions, particularly …

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  • 4 June 2025 10:11 pm

    Bulgaria and Ukraine: Eurozone Ambitions and Economic Alignment

    Bulgaria’s path to euro adoption, scheduled for January 2026, and Ukraine’s pursuit of EU integration, particularly its June 2025 bilateral screening on economic and monetary policy, form the cornerstone of their evolving partnership. Bulgaria’s fiscal discipline, with a 2025 deficit of 2.8% and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 25.1%, aligns with …

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  • 4 June 2025 9:40 pm

    Will the ECB Cut Rates Again? More About Opportunities, Challenges for the Eurozone

    The European Central Bank (ECB) is poised to reduce its deposit rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2% on June 5, 2025, marking its eighth cut in the current easing cycle. Eurozone inflation, at 1.9% in May, has dipped below the ECB’s 2% target, driven by falling energy prices and …

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  • 4 June 2025 8:41 pm

    China and EU Push For Fresh Trade Talks In July

    China and the European Union have scheduled urgent trade negotiations to address escalating economic disputes, with a high-level summit planned for late July 2025 in Beijing. The talks aim to resolve critical issues surrounding market access, rare earth exports, and electric vehicle tariffs, as both sides navigate the fallout from …

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  • 4 June 2025 7:32 pm

    BoC Holds Rates Amid Trade Tensions and Inflation Concerns

    On June 4, 2025, the Bank of Canada, led by Governor Tiff Macklem, opted to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 2.75%, marking the second consecutive hold. This decision reflects a cautious approach as the economy grapples with heightened uncertainty, particularly from escalating U.S. tariffs. The central bank is balancing …

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  • 4 June 2025 5:03 pm

    Oil Prices Slip as Weak U.S. Jobs Data Clouds Demand Outlook

    Oil prices edged lower on Wednesday, giving back part of their recent rally as unexpectedly weak U.S. labor market data raised fresh concerns over the health of the world’s largest oil-consuming economy. By 08:45 ET (12:45 GMT): Brent crude fell 0.7% to $65.17 per barrel West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped …

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