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Market Analysis

July, 2022

  • 28 July 2022 8:23 pm

    When does a real recession begin?

    This question normally weighs on consumers, politicians and investors around the world every time the US central bank decides interest rate hikes. Is the US economy in a recession? The reasonable answer, so far, is: “maybe”, in other words; it is “A Mix of Yes and No”. For many people, …

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  • 28 July 2022 7:29 pm

    Gold surges to conquer $1750 on US Q2 GDP reading

    Gold price advances more than 1%, recording back-to-back gains for the first time since July 21-22. The US Q2 GDP, on its preliminary reading, contracted, meaning the US is technically in a recession.The US economic calendar on Friday will update the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, alongside the UoM Consumer Sentiment.Gold …

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  • 28 July 2022 7:01 pm

    OPEC+ expected to keep output steady or slightly raise in September

    Citing eight sources familiar with the matter, Reuters reported on Thursday that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies, collectively known as OPEC+, were planning to leave the oil output unchanged for September.Sources also acknowledged that a modest output increase could be discussed amid calls from the …

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  • 28 July 2022 5:55 pm

    US: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 256K

    There were 256,000 initial jobless claims in the week ending July 23, the weekly data published by the US Department of Labor (DOL) showed on Thursday. This print followed the previous week’s print of 261,000 and came in worse than the market expectation of 253,000. Further details of the publication …

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  • 28 July 2022 4:45 pm

    US economy contracts at an annualized rate of 0.9% in Q2

    The US economy contracted at an annualized rate of 0.9% in the second quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis’ (BEA) first estimate showed on Thursday. This reading came in much worse than the market expectation for an expansion of 0.5%. “The decrease in real GDP reflected decreases in private …

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  • 28 July 2022 2:55 pm

    Gold rises to its highest level in 3 weeks as Dollar declines

    Gold prices rose to a 3-week high on Thursday, July 28, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested the US central bank may slow the pace of interest rate hikes in the coming months, affecting the dollar and US Treasury yields. Spot gold rose 0.7% to $1,745.20 an ounce, its …

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  • 28 July 2022 2:05 pm

    Moody’s Earnings, Revenue Miss in Q2

    Moody’s reported on second-quarter earnings that missed analysts’ forecasts and revenue that fell short of expectations. Moody’s announced earnings per share of $2.22 on revenue of $1.38B. Moody’s shares are down 5% from the beginning of the year, still down 28.77% from its 52-week high of $407.94 set on November …

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  • 28 July 2022 1:21 pm

    statements of FED support European stocks

    European Stocks

    European shares rose to a seven-week high on Thursday as some concerns about the pace of the Federal Reserve’s rate hike dissipated while strong business results for companies, including Shell, supported buying. And the Federal Reserve (the US central bank) raised the interest rate by 75 basis points, as expected, …

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  • 28 July 2022 11:27 am

    Dollar hits a 3-week low against yen

    The dollar fell to a three-week low against the yen on Thursday after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell calmed investor concerns about continued monetary tightening. The dollar fell to 135.105 yen to the dollar, its lowest since July 6, after the US central bank raised the key interest rate …

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  • 28 July 2022 11:00 am

    Oil extends gains as risk appetite improves, US inventories fall

    Oil rose more than a dollar a barrel on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session, supported by improved risk appetite among investors, while prices were supported by a decline in US crude inventories and a recovery in gasoline demand in the United States. Brent crude futures for September delivery …

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  • 28 July 2022 4:36 am

    Market Drivers – US Session – Wednesday, July 27

    The fears of the US economic slowdown as portrayed by the US Treasury yield curve appeared to have recently creeped among the optimists. US government bond market is sending a fresh batch of signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation could result in recession. …

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  • 28 July 2022 2:39 am

    Gold capitalizes on Fed’s hawkish comments, consolidation ahead

    It has been a big Wednesday for gold. FOMC decision should help convince Wall Street that a peak in Treasury yields (10-year) is in place. The Fed is still committed to fighting inflation and the market is getting very close to pricing in peak tightening.Gold looks like it could continue …

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  • 28 July 2022 2:02 am

    Yield curve flashing additional signals of recession risks

    The US government bond market is sending new signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation will result in recession.While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said that he does not see the economy currently in a recession, spreads between different pairings of Treasury securities …

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