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Market Analysis

June, 2025

  • 26 June 2025 5:05 pm

    U.S. Economy Contracts in Q1 2025; GDP Declines 0.5%

    The U.S. economy contracted at an annual rate of 0.5% in the first quarter of 2025, marking a worse-than-expected decline, according to the latest data released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Thursday. This figure was a revision downward from the previously reported -0.2%, signaling a more …

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  • 26 June 2025 4:52 pm

    U.S. Jobless Claims Fall, but Continuing Unemployment Claims Rise

    The number of U.S. citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 236,000 for the week ending June 21, as reported by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) on Thursday. This figure came in lower than both initial estimates and the previous week’s revised total of 246,000 (which had …

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  • 26 June 2025 3:21 pm

    Bitcoin Rises Amid Institutional Demand; Ceasefire Boosts Risk Sentiment

    Bitcoin showed some positive movement on Thursday, rising by 1.4% to $107,751.9 as risk appetite continued to benefit from the ongoing ceasefire between Israel and Iran, though it remained within a familiar trading range. The largest cryptocurrency’s price remained below its weekly high of over $108,000, signaling that while momentum …

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  • 26 June 2025 2:39 pm

    UK Retail Sales See Sharp Decline in June Amid Tough Consumer Conditions

    Retail sales in the UK faced a significant downturn in June, as the latest survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) revealed a deeper contraction in sales activity compared to May. The CBI’s monthly retail sales gauge, which compares sales figures to those from the same time last year, …

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  • 26 June 2025 1:52 pm

    European Markets Rise on Ceasefire Hopes, Powell’s Testimony, and Crude Prices

    European stocks gained ground on Thursday as investors tracked the fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire, the looming U.S. tariff deadline, and the latest comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. By 03:15 ET (07:15 GMT), the DAX index in Germany was up 0.5%, the CAC 40 in France climbed 0.4%, and the …

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  • 26 June 2025 12:36 pm

    Gold Prices Steady Amid Weaker Dollar; Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Holds

    Gold prices found some support in Asian trade on Thursday, as a weaker dollar helped to stabilize bullion prices. Spot Gold remained largely unchanged at $3,336.65 an ounce, while Gold Futures for August rose 0.1% to $3,347.45/oz by 01:08 ET (05:08 GMT). Earlier in the week, gold saw sharp losses …

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  • 26 June 2025 11:47 am

    Oil Prices Edge Up Amid Strong U.S. Demand Data

    Oil prices made modest gains in Asian trade on Thursday, boosted by a larger-than-expected draw in U.S. oil inventories, which sparked some optimism around demand. However, the potential for further increases remained tempered by the sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which has reduced concerns over potential disruptions in Middle …

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  • 26 June 2025 1:18 am

    Can UK, Eurozone Avoid Defense Spending Crisis Post-NATO Summit?

    NATO

    The NATO summit in The Hague on June 24-25, 2025, has thrust defense budgets into sharp focus, with allies pledging to raise spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, up from the prior 2% target. Fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump’s call for equitable contributions and escalating Russian threats, this …

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  • 26 June 2025 12:50 am

    Fed’s Plan to Ease Bank Leverage Rules Sparks Debate

    The Federal Reserve’s proposal to loosen leverage rules for major banks has ignited controversy, with some policymakers signaling opposition. This move, announced on June 25, 2025, aims to adjust the enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio (eSLR), a post-2008 crisis measure to bolster banking stability. The debate centers on balancing financial resilience …

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  • 26 June 2025 12:08 am

    EUR/USD Price Forecast: Euro Nears 2025 Highs Amid Ceasefire Optimism and Fed Caution

    The EUR/USD pair extended its bullish run for a fifth straight day on Wednesday, nearing its year-to-date high around 1.1660, up 0.44% during the North American trading session. The euro’s strength was driven by renewed optimism over a U.S.-brokered Middle East ceasefire, which, despite its fragility, fueled risk-on sentiment and …

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  • 25 June 2025 11:32 pm

    Market Drivers — US Session: Upon US Dollar’s Retreat, What’s Next for Currencies and Commodities?

    The US dollar’s recent retreat has stirred global markets, spotlighting tensions in currency pairs, gold prices, and the Canadian dollar’s struggle to hold ground. A ceasefire in the Middle East and cautious remarks from Federal Reserve’s Jerome Powell have shaped this shift, raising questions about what lies ahead for monetary …

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  • 25 June 2025 10:39 pm

    US Stocks Rise on Mideast Ceasefire Optimism, Tech Strength, Despite Housing Slump and Trade Tensions

    U.S. stocks displayed resilience on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.2% and edging within 1% of record highs, driven by tech sector strength and optimism over a U.S.-Qatar-mediated ceasefire between Iran and Israel, announced Tuesday. The Nasdaq surged 0.4%, buoyed by tech stocks like Nvidia, which jumped over 3% …

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  • 25 June 2025 9:45 pm

    Drone Maker’s Stock Soars on Robust Q4 Results

    AeroVironment’s stock surged 21.6% on June 25, 2025, after the drone manufacturer delivered a fourth-quarter performance that exceeded expectations. The company’s strong earnings and revenue figures, coupled with record annual revenue, signal robust growth in the defense tech sector. This essay argues that AeroVironment’s results highlight the rising demand for …

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