Market Analysis

June, 2025

  • 27 June 2025 8:41 pm

    Dollar Rides High on Trade Deal Optimism

    Trade Talks Fuel Dollar’s Rise: In June 2025, the U.S. dollar got a shot in the arm from growing optimism over trade negotiations. Reports of nearing agreements between the United States and key trading partners pushed the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against major currencies, to 97.27 points on …

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  • 27 June 2025 7:43 pm

    U.S. Inflation Stays Cool in May: Calm Before the Storm?

    Inflation Meets Expectations: In May 2025, U.S. inflation aligned closely with forecasts, offering a moment of stability amid economic uncertainty. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, favored by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for its reliability, rose 0.1% month-over-month, matching both the prior reading and market expectations. Annually, the PCE …

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  • 27 June 2025 7:09 pm

    Explainer: Europe’s Trade Concessions Versus Trump’s Tariff Threat

    The European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen expressed readiness to strike a trade deal with the Trump administration, but with caveats. Facing U.S. threats of 50% tariffs by July 9, the EU is open to concessions, particularly on autonomous vehicle regulations, to protect key sectors like autos and steel. …

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  • 27 June 2025 5:04 pm

    U.S. Inflation Data Shows Modest Price Gains in May, Fed’s PCE Index Reflects Stability

    The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, showed a slight increase in May, indicating stable price gains despite ongoing concerns about the economic impact of sweeping U.S. tariffs. The headline PCE inflation for May rose by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis, matching the …

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  • 27 June 2025 3:07 pm

    PCE Price Index Set to Offer Key Clues on Fed’s Next Move

    The upcoming release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for May is expected to provide valuable insights into inflationary pressures and influence market expectations about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. According to forecasts, the core PCE Price Index—considered the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—will increase by …

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  • 27 June 2025 2:01 pm

    ECB Confident in Meeting Inflation Target, Eyes Pause After Recent Rate Cuts

    The European Central Bank (ECB) is on track to meet its 2% inflation target, according to Vice President Luis de Guindos, who expressed confidence in the ECB’s monetary policy approach. In a statement to Spanish broadcaster Antena 3 on Friday, de Guindos reaffirmed the ECB’s commitment to bringing inflation to …

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  • 27 June 2025 12:45 pm

    European Stocks Gain on Easing Trade Tensions, Auto and Media Sectors Lead

    European stocks rose on Friday, buoyed by signs of de-escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, boosting optimism for further trade deals before the deadline for the U.S. tariff pause in July. The pan-European STOXX 600 index advanced by 0.6%, reaching 540.67 points as of 07:07 GMT, positioning …

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  • 27 June 2025 11:02 am

    French Consumer Prices Rise Faster Than Expected in June, Exceeding Forecasts

    French consumer prices saw a modest increase in June, surpassing economist expectations, according to preliminary data released Friday by the national statistics agency INSEE. The harmonised inflation rate, which adjusts for comparisons with other eurozone countries, rose by 0.8% year-on-year in June. This marked a slight acceleration compared to previous …

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  • 27 June 2025 10:15 am

    Gold Prices Slide as Stable Ceasefire Eases Geopolitical Tensions, Investors Await Inflation Data

    Gold prices slipped to their lowest levels in nearly four weeks during Asian trading on Friday, as the ongoing ceasefire between Israel and Iran weakened demand for the precious metal, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset during times of geopolitical unrest. Spot gold fell 1% to $3,293.79 an ounce, its lowest …

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  • 27 June 2025 9:31 am

    Oil Prices Set for Steep Weekly Decline Despite Ceasefire, Supply Concerns Ease

    Oil prices edged higher on Friday, but remained on track for their largest weekly decline since March 2023, as market concerns over supply disruptions from the Israel-Iran conflict dissipated. The absence of significant impact on global oil flows led to the evaporation of any risk premium that had previously supported …

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  • 27 June 2025 1:22 am

    Transatlantic Tensions: Macron Warns of Europe’s Tariff Retaliation Against US Companies

    French President Emmanuel Macron declared that Europe would counter a proposed 10% US tariff with equivalent levies on American firms. This bold stance highlights mounting friction between European leaders and the US, as markets reacted with the EUR/USD falling 0.18% to 1.1682. Macron’s warning signals Europe’s readiness to protect its …

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  • 27 June 2025 12:20 am

    Gold Prices Retreat Despite Dollar Weakness: What’s Next?

    Gold prices linger below $3,320, unable to capitalize on a weakened US Dollar and declining Treasury yields. Robust US economic data and looming Federal Reserve leadership changes introduce uncertainty, capping the metal’s upward momentum. This article explores why gold struggles to rally, what factors are at play, and what lies …

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  • 26 June 2025 11:10 pm

    Banxico’s Bold Move: Rates Slashed to 8%

    On June 26, 2025, the Banco de Mexico (Banxico) lowered its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 8%, aligning with market expectations. The decision, however, saw dissent from Deputy Governor Jonathan Heath, who advocated maintaining rates at 8.5%. This cut reflects Banxico’s response to a complex economic landscape, …

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