Market Analysis

July, 2024

  • 8 July 2024 9:36 pm

    Fresh US Plan Targeting Russian Oil Revenues

    Treasury officials in President Biden’s Treasury Department have proposed new actions to cripple a fleet of aging oil tankers that are helping deliver Russian oil to buyers around the world in defiance of Western sanctions. The effort is aimed at punishing Russia but has stalled amid White House concerns over …

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  • 8 July 2024 8:34 pm

    US Dollar looks for catalysts ahead of CPI data, Powell’s testimony

    the US Dollar was down 0.80% last week, now at lowest level since mid-June. Anticipation builds with the upcoming release of the June inflation figures and Fed talks.Market is pricing in less than 10% odds of a cut in July and around 80% in September. The US Dollar continues to …

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  • 8 July 2024 7:42 pm

    BoE seen to hold Interest rates in August

    Interest rates in the UK are expected to be held again next month, rather than cut for the first time in over four years, according to Jonathan Haskel, a member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The UK central bank has kept interest rates at a 16-year …

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  • 8 July 2024 2:54 pm

    US Stock Futures Hold Steady Ahead of Pivotal Week

    U.S. stock index futures remained largely unchanged on Monday morning, as investors braced for a critical week packed with market-moving events. With the release of key inflation data, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, and the commencement of the second-quarter earnings season, market participants are treading cautiously while assessing potential …

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  • 8 July 2024 12:46 pm

    China’s Car Sales Decline for Third Consecutive Month Despite Government Incentives

    China’s car sales continued to decline in June, marking the third straight month of falling figures. This trend persists despite government incentives aimed at boosting consumer demand amid a sluggish economic recovery. Key Points: June Sales Decline: Passenger vehicle sales in June totaled 1.78 million, a 6.9% decrease compared to …

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  • 8 July 2024 11:34 am

    Oil Prices Slip as Gaza Ceasefire Talks Progress and Tropical Storm Beryl Threatens US Supplies

    Oil prices edged lower on Monday, following a four-week upward trend, due to the prospect of a ceasefire in Gaza easing geopolitical tensions. Investors are also monitoring Tropical Storm Beryl, which threatens to disrupt U.S. energy supplies. Brent crude futures dipped 0.4% to $86.18 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas …

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  • 8 July 2024 10:43 am

    German Exports Slump in May Amid Weak Global Demand

    German exports experienced a sharper-than-expected decline in May, as weak demand from major trading partners such as China, the U.S., and other European countries weighed on the nation’s economic performance. According to data released by the federal statistics office, exports fell by 3.6% in May compared to the previous month, …

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  • 8 July 2024 9:59 am

    Gold Dips Slightly, but Holds Near One-Month Highs Amid Rate Cut Anticipation

    Gold prices experienced a minor retreat in Asian trading on Monday, as investors paused to assess the upcoming testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and key inflation data due later in the week. Despite the slight dip, gold remains close to one-month highs, fueled by growing expectations of an …

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  • 8 July 2024 1:21 am

    Markets’ Weekly Recap: Bets continue on a US rate cut sooner than expected

    The financial markets witnessed many developments during the trading week ending on Friday, July 5, 2024, in terms of major currencies, American and international stocks, commodities, and other most prominent traded assets, and in this weekly report we attempt to monitor the most important developments.Markets were mixed this week, with …

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  • 6 July 2024 1:36 am

    Explainer: Why Are Wall Street Discussions Recalling Sahm Rule?

    Wall Street is buzzing about the Sahm Rule after the latest US Bureau of Labour Statistics data release showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate. While the headline number of 206,000 new jobs created in June exceeded the 190,000 expectations, economists are concerned about several underlying factors.What is the …

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  • 5 July 2024 10:52 pm

    Will AI Push S&P 500 higher before peaking next year?

    AI enthusiasm will propel the S&P 500 to 7,000 by next year, although AI itself is largely seen as a market bubble that will bubble until 2025. Investors are overestimating the technology’s macroeconomic benefits. The S&P 500 has already broken more than thirty new highs this year, and the rush …

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  • 5 July 2024 9:04 pm

    Fed Under Pressure to Cut Rates in September as Job Market Cools

    June’s jobs report sent a mixed message, with job gains have remained better than expected in a strong status but other indicators are suggesting a slowdown. This has increased pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September.Job Growth Flatters, Not Deceives: While headline numbers showed solid hiring, …

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  • 5 July 2024 8:00 pm

    Gold rallies after US labour data

    Spot gold is up 1.16%, trading at $238460, and gold futures are up 1.20%, trading at $2394.45 at the time of writing. Gold has continued its positive run as investors become increasingly optimistic about the Fed’s intention to lower interest rates sooner than previously thought. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report …

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