Bloomberg has said that bets on rising U.S. yields “are adding to pressure on interest rates in the short term funding market”, where corporate cash holders make overnight loans by Treasury securities as guarantee.Yields on two-year notes tipped 0.44% this week, the highest level in a year, while investors still …
Read More »What Trump Heard from Carney About Chinese EVs—and Why It Matters
A seemingly casual exchange between the Canadian prime minister and U.S. President Donald Trump has …
Resilient but Not Relaxed: Europe Faces Its Next Economic Test
Europe’s growth holds firm as inflation risks refuse to fade. As geopolitical tensions show signs of…
Oil’s Dramatic Reversal: Hormuz Breakthrough Sends Crude Sliding
Global oil markets plunged on Tuesday as traders rushed to price in what could become the most signi…
Canadian Dollar Under Pressure as Oil Slips and Markets Await the Fed
The Canadian Dollar remained close to its weakest levels in recent weeks on Tuesday, with the USD/CA…
Dollar Steadies as Iran Euphoria Fades: Bank of America Warns “Don’t Chase the Move” as FOMC Hawkish Skew Risk Looms
Key Takeaways Dollar stabilizes: The DXY was little changed in London trade after hitting a 10-day l…
Bond Yields Hit Multi-Week Lows as Iran War Inflation Premium Unwinds: December Fed Hike Odds Collapse to 40%
Key Takeaways U.S. 10-year at 1-month low: The benchmark Treasury yield drifted to 4.43% as fixed-in…
Wall Street Futures Pause After Monday’s Surge: Fed Meeting Begins as Brent Extends Drop Below $82
Key Takeaways Futures muted: Dow futures were mostly flat, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.1%, and Nas…
Bitcoin Treads Water at $66K as Fed Meeting and Iran MOU Signing Keep Traders Cautious
Key Takeaways Bitcoin barely moves: The world’s largest crypto rose just 0.4% to $66,116.4 as …
Trump Says Hormuz “Completely Open” by Friday as G7 Diplomacy Accelerates: Israel’s Lebanon Offensive Threatens to Derail MOU
Key Takeaways Trump’s Friday deadline: Speaking at the G7 in France, the president said the St…
Oil Holds Near 3-Month Lows as Hormuz Deal Details Awaited: Trump Says Ships Moving But Full Recovery Months Away
Key Takeaways Oil edges lower: Brent fell 0.5% to $82.75 per barrel, while WTI dipped 0.3% to $80.54…
Market Analysis
October, 2021
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21 October 2021 2:40 am
Wall Street closes higher with S&P 500 tipping fresh record
The S&P 500 index, a proxy for the health of retirement and college savings accounts, has climbed by 0.4% for its sixth successive gain to close as solid earnings stir investors’ expectations and appetite.S&P 500 closed at 4,536.19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.4% to 35,609.34 and Nasdaq …
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21 October 2021 2:05 am
BofA: Carbon tax could add to inflation
Francisco Blanch, Bank of America head of global commodities and derivatives research, told CNBC in a discussion on how much the energy sector is playing into the inflation story, why prices are elevated and how prices will look this holiday season.Blanch pointed out that surging energy prices in oil and …
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21 October 2021 1:50 am
Poll: 62% of Americans hold Biden’s policies responsible for inflation
62 percent of Americans hold Joe Biden as responsible for increasing inflation and believe the country is economically on the wrong track.A new poll released Wednesday said that Biden’s policies are responsible for inflation, which has hit its highest rate in 13 years.Morning Consult/Politico poll found that 18 percent believe …
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21 October 2021 1:34 am
Weaker dollar pushes EUR/USD up to test 1.1650
EUR/USD erased daily losses amid a decline of the dollar. EUR/USD pair is modestly rising after a rebound from 1.1615. During the American session, the pair climbed to 1.1651, slightly below the registered daily highs. On Wednesday, the U. S. dollar fell across the board amid risk appetite across financial …
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21 October 2021 12:49 am
China’s sets plans to curb power crisis
China’s power crisis has already impacted the domestic economy and raised concerns about winter’s cold weather which has started early in some provincesThermal coal futures have surged but senior officials keep promising to increase coal production and push energy prices lower. Beijing has stepped up its control over the nation’s …
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21 October 2021 12:34 am
Credit Suisse: Market odds of a policy error by Fed jump to 40%
The analysis on “The Eurodollar Curve” conducted by Credit Suisse found that “market-implied odds of the Federal Reserve committing a policy mistake have jumped to around 40% from just under 25% two weeks ago”A policy mistake by the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank outranks all the scenarios being priced in by …
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21 October 2021 12:16 am
Fed’s Beige Book: Supply chain roars and labor shortage slows economic growth
U.S. economic growth slowed as a result of supply chain disruptions and a growing labor shortage according to a fresh Federal Reserve report. Fed’s Beige Book is a region by region compilation of economic information. In its latest edition issued Wednesday, Fed reported that several districts noted that growth overall …
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20 October 2021 9:51 pm
Fed’s Quarles: More stimulus lets inflation continue longer
A top Federal Reserve official said he expected elevated inflation pressures to decline without requiring a more aggressive response by the central bank next year.Fed Governor Randal Quarles says he is watching for signs that higher demand will keep prices elevated even after bottlenecks abate, but he warned of growing …
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20 October 2021 8:31 pm
Gold rises as rate hike expectations played down
On Wednesday, gold rose for a second day following comments by Federal Reserve Bank official that played down the possibility of imminent rate hikes.Gold gained positive traction for the second successive day and shot to fresh weekly tops, closer to the $1,790 level during the early North American session, meanwhile …
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20 October 2021 7:37 pm
U. S. EIA: Crude oil stocks decline by 0.4 million barrels
Commercial crude oil inventories in the US fell by 0.4 million barrels in the week ending October 15.The U. S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly report was out on Wednesday. This reading comes in much lower than the market’s expectation for an inventory build of 1.8 million barrels.Crude oil prices tipped …
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20 October 2021 7:22 pm
Bitcoin closes at record high, day after U.S. ETF launch
Bitcoin drifted just below its record highs on Wednesday, only one day after the launch of the first U.S. bitcoin futures-based exchange traded fund (ETF), to evidence that the new product was entirely meaningful for bitcoin. The world’s leading cryptocurrency displayed good performance at $64,257, and got higher during the …
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20 October 2021 7:19 pm
Market Drivers – European Session 20-10-2021
The European trading session, on Wednesday, was quiet for the second consecutive day. The U. S. dollar became further steadier earlier in the European session, but it is now following a more mixed trading pattern, with the sterling tracking lower as it moved away from key resistance near 1.3800.Gold’s gains …
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