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Market Analysis

August, 2025

  • 29 August 2025 10:32 am

    Dollar Weakens Amid Fed Rate-Cut Bets and Political Uncertainty

    The U.S. dollar wavered on Friday, heading for a 2% decline in August against major currencies, as markets weighed rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month against concerns over the central bank’s independence. President Donald Trump’s attempts to influence monetary policy, including firing Fed Governor Lisa …

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  • 29 August 2025 10:07 am

    Oil Prices Slip as Geopolitical Risks and Tariffs Cloud Outlook

    Oil prices fell in Asian trading on Friday, reversing some of Thursday’s gains, amid fading hopes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal and renewed focus on U.S. tariffs on India. Brent October futures dropped 0.8% to $68.10/barrel. WTI crude futures fell 0.7% to $64.14/barrel. Both contracts are on track for monthly …

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  • 29 August 2025 2:50 am

    Q2 Earnings Season Wraps Up with Mixed Results and AI-Driven Shifts

    Q2 Earnings Season Wraps Up with Mixed Results and AI-Driven Shifts The second quarter earnings season is drawing to a close, delivering a largely positive set of results for Corporate America. Over 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported, with earnings per share projected to rise by 11% compared to …

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  • 29 August 2025 2:21 am

    PCE Report Looms as Inflation Stays Hot

    Core PCE

    Inflation likely remained higher than the Federal Reserve’s target in July, according to a survey of economists. The widely watched report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis is expected to show that consumer prices, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, rose by 2.6% over the past year—the …

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  • 29 August 2025 12:34 am

    Is the U.S. Economy Able to Survive a $37 Trillion Debt Bubble?

    A curious paradox exists in modern economic reporting: rising consumer debt is often presented as a sign of economic confidence. Analysts and media outlets frequently cheer as households borrow more, framing it as a signal of optimism and a willingness to spend. However, a closer look at the data reveals …

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  • 28 August 2025 11:33 pm

    Can Upcoming Inflation Data Stop the Yen’s Surge Against the Dollar?

    The Japanese Yen is on a winning streak, pulling the USD/JPY currency pair below the key 147.00 psychological level. This recent slide is driven by a surprising tug-of-war between two of the world’s most influential central banks. While strong US economic data might suggest a robust dollar, the currency is …

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  • 28 August 2025 10:42 pm

    Political Tensions Drive Gold to a Five-Week High Above $3400

    Gold prices have surged, reaching a five-week high above $3,400, as market attention shifts from robust economic data to rising political uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve. Despite strong indicators of a resilient U.S. economy, safe-haven demand for the precious metal is dominating market sentiment. The rally is being fueled by …

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  • 28 August 2025 9:43 pm

    Fed’s Lisa Cook Takes Trump, Powell to Court on Firing Decision

    A recent lawsuit filed in federal court is challenging President Donald Trump’s decision to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. The lawsuit names both the president and Fed Chair Jerome Powell as defendants.Cook’s lawsuit argues that the president’s action was “unprecedented and illegal” and that there was no “cause” for …

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  • 28 August 2025 8:39 pm

    U.S. Economy’s Unexpected Surge: Defying Tariffs and Higher for Longer Interest Rates

    The U.S. economy is proving to be far more resilient than initially thought. Recent data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows a significant upward revision to the second-quarter growth rate, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) now estimated to have grown at an annual rate of 3.3%. This figure …

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  • 28 August 2025 7:34 pm

    Unexpected Rise: Pound Defies Strong US Economy as Inflation Looms

    The British Pound is on the move, gaining against the US Dollar despite strong economic signals from the United States. While US GDP growth smashed expectations, a cooling labor market and persistent inflation in the UK are giving the pound an edge. This unexpected dynamic has many analysts questioning why …

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  • 28 August 2025 4:55 pm

    US Jobless Claims Show Slight Decline, Indicating Continued Labor Market Strength

    According to the US Department of Labor (DOL), initial unemployment claims fell to 229,000 for the week ending August 23, slightly below forecasts of 230K and down from the revised 234K the previous week. The 4-week moving average rose 2,500 to 228,500, reflecting a minor short-term uptick. Continuing claims decreased …

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  • 28 August 2025 4:41 pm

    U.S. GDP Growth Surpasses Expectations in Q2

    The U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 3.3% in Q2, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), exceeding both the initial estimate of 3% and the market expectation of 3.1%. Revision Details: Upward revisions in investment and consumer spending contributed to the stronger growth. Government spending was …

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  • 28 August 2025 3:14 pm

    Oil Prices Slip Amid Seasonal Demand Concerns and Russian Supply Restart

    Price Action (1033 GMT) Brent Crude: $67.77, -0.4% WTI Crude: $63.94, -0.3% Key Drivers Seasonal Demand: U.S. Labor Day weekend marks the unofficial end of summer driving season, expected to reduce gasoline consumption. Russian Supply: Druzhba pipeline deliveries to Hungary and Slovakia resumed after last week’s outage due to a …

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