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Market Update

Weekly Recap: Q3 Earnings, Labour Data In Play Ahead of US Election Uncertainty

Weekly Recap

US Election Looms LargeThe upcoming US presidential election has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the global markets. As the two candidates remain neck-and-neck, investors brace for potential market volatility, especially in the immediate aftermath of the election. The USD/JPY pair has been particularly volatile, with the yen strengthening following …

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China’s Dwindling Economic Momentum: A Deep Perspective

China’s economic growth has been slowing, prompting policymakers to consider a significant stimulus package. While a proposed 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) fiscal stimulus could provide a temporary boost, concerns persist about its long-term efficacy and its ability to address the underlying structural issues.The Limits of Stimulus The Chinese government’s …

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What implications could US presidential elections have for Fed policy?

The election has significant implications for Fed policy in 2025, with a Trump victory potentially ensuring a lower tax environment that boosts sentiment and spending in the near-term. However, promised tariffs, immigration controls, and higher borrowing costs will become headwinds through his presidential term. Conversely, a Harris victory implies continuity, …

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US Job Growth Slows Sharply in October Amid Hurricanes and Strikes

The U.S. labor market experienced a significant slowdown in October, with nonfarm payrolls adding just 12,000 jobs, far below the expected 106,000. This steep drop comes after September’s revised 223,000 job increase, as the Labor Department indicated that severe hurricanes in the Southeast and strikes in manufacturing weighed heavily on …

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