The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) declined over 0.29% on Monday, as investors grapple with uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision.Market Volatility and Election ConcernsRecent fluctuations in election polls have heightened market volatility. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has surged above 20, indicating …
Read More »After Pennsylvania polls, US dollar hits a new nine-day low
Monday saw a decline in the value of the US dollar as Ipsos surveys predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the US presidential election. With the FOMC meeting taking place amid uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election, traders are in for a highly tumultuous week. The US dollar …
Read More »European Stocks Hold Steady as Key Events Unfold Globally
European markets traded in a narrow range on Monday, reflecting investor caution at the start of a significant week that includes the U.S. presidential election, Federal Reserve and Bank of England interest rate decisions, and further corporate earnings reports. Market Overview Germany’s DAX: Down by 0.1%. France’s CAC 40: Fell …
Read More »Weekly Recap: Q3 Earnings, Labour Data In Play Ahead of US Election Uncertainty
US Election Looms LargeThe upcoming US presidential election has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the global markets. As the two candidates remain neck-and-neck, investors brace for potential market volatility, especially in the immediate aftermath of the election. The USD/JPY pair has been particularly volatile, with the yen strengthening following …
Read More »What implications could US presidential elections have for Fed policy?
The election has significant implications for Fed policy in 2025, with a Trump victory potentially ensuring a lower tax environment that boosts sentiment and spending in the near-term. However, promised tariffs, immigration controls, and higher borrowing costs will become headwinds through his presidential term. Conversely, a Harris victory implies continuity, …
Read More »DXY: Uncertain Path Amid Economic Crosscurrents
The US Dollar, once an unfaltering symbol of global financial stability, has recently exhibited a volatile performance. While it initially surged on the back of aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, it has since retreated as market expectations for future tightening have moderated. The confluence of economic factors, …
Read More »How Are Gold Prices Facing A Stormy Economic Agenda?
A Tale of Two Reports: NFP and ISM The recent release of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI reports has sent mixed signals about the state of the US economy. While the NFP report painted a picture of a slowing labor market, the ISM …
Read More »Fed’s Tightening Grip: A Deeper Look at the Shrinking RRP
The Federal Reserve’s ongoing efforts to tighten monetary policy have led to a significant decline in the amount of money parked at its overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility. This development has sparked renewed debate about the potential for a liquidity crunch in the US financial system.As of Friday, the …
Read More »Fed Expected To Address Recent Labour Data With Caution
The Federal Reserve is poised to once again navigate a complex economic landscape as it prepares for its upcoming policy meeting. While the central bank is widely expected to implement a modest interest rate cut, the underlying economic conditions present a nuanced picture. The recent employment report, though initially underwhelming, …
Read More »US Job Growth Slows Sharply in October Amid Hurricanes and Strikes
The U.S. labor market experienced a significant slowdown in October, with nonfarm payrolls adding just 12,000 jobs, far below the expected 106,000. This steep drop comes after September’s revised 223,000 job increase, as the Labor Department indicated that severe hurricanes in the Southeast and strikes in manufacturing weighed heavily on …
Read More »