GBP/USD fell during US trade on Friday, as the US dollar strengthened versus the majority of its G10 counterparts. following strong US economic data.The US dollar benefitted from a surge in US yields, particularly at the short-end of the curve. The bond market moves reflected a market interpreting Friday’s data …
Read More »NFP Data Proves Win-Win For USD
The US economy gained 431000 jobs in March, on top of upward revisions and other upbeat data. There is nothing in the data suggesting that the Fed will refrain from a 50 bps rate hike. The US dollar is set to gain ground as traders take risks off the table …
Read More »Should Markets Panic? Why Could T-yields Be Recession Warning?
One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession is shining brighter. The yield curve is watched for clues to how the bond market is feeling about the US economy’s long-term prospects. Should Markets Panic?Fed Chair Jerome Powell would say no. Last week, he said that he pays …
Read More »Analysts: NFP does not change the calculus for the Fed
According to analysts from TD Securities, today’s numbers reinforce the strength of the labor market. They forecast a 50 bp rate hike in May and June. Data released on Friday showed employers added 431000 jobs during March in the US. The unemployment rate fell to 3.6%. Key Quotes: “We think …
Read More »USD/JPY Steadies Around 122.60s on High US Treasury Yields
The USD/JPY recovers after dipping 350-pips in the week, rallying above the 122.00 mark on a buoyant market sentiment and the stronger US dollar, lifted by solid US macroeconomic data and prospects of the Federal Reserve hiking rates by 50-bps in the May meeting. The USD/JPY pair is trading at …
Read More »Fed’s Evans: Hiking under 2.5% by March 2023 gives Fed “optionality”
Chicago Fed President and FOMC member Charles Evans on Friday said that raising interest rates to just under 2.5% by March 2023 gives the Fed “optionality”. It is not a big risk if that rate-hike path includes “some” 50 bps hikes to get to the neutral rate sooner.Monthly inflation reports …
Read More »Turkish lira vulnerable to additional weakness in 2023
The conflict in Ukraine reinforces downside risks for the Turkish lira according to MUFG Bank. The bank forecasts USD/TRY at 15.250 by the end of the second quarter and at 16.000 by the third quarter. Key Quotes:“The lira has re-weakened against the US dollar over the past month undermined primarily …
Read More »EUR/USD At Fresh Lows On Stronger US Dollar
The EUR/USD pair dropped further and printed a fresh three-day low during the American session at 1.1026 as the US dollar gained momentum. The bias remains to the downside with the pair set to keep trimming weekly gains.The US dollar strengthened after the beginning of the American session as market …
Read More »Gold is falling as bond yields increase, heading for a weekly loss
Gold fell on Friday and is heading for a weekly decline, as the rise in Treasury yields affected the attractiveness of the non-yielding metal, and increased pressure on it due to the rise of the dollar. And gold fell in spot transactions 0.4 percent to $ 1929.90 an ounce by …
Read More »The ruble rises for the ninth session
The Russian ruble rose for the ninth straight session in Moscow, closing near 83 to the dollar on Thursday, and stocks jumped as some limits on short-selling were lifted, with the market focusing on the effects of Moscow’s demand to pay for its gas exports in rubles. The ruble rose …
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