The EUR/USD pair falls due to weaker than expected EU economic data, facing strong headwinds with the energy crisis, and slower economic growth. The US GDP in the second quarter showed signs of contraction, meaning the US is in a “technical recession”.Inflation in Germany tops around 8.6% YoY, while the …
Read More »Fed expected to take rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022
The latest FOMC meeting raised the key interest rate by 75 basis points, as expected. Analysts stick with our forecast that the Fed will take the fed funds rate to a 3.25-3.50% by the end of this year, shifting to a 50 bps hike in September, followed by two consecutive …
Read More »Chinese President opposes Taiwan independence, interference of external forces
Chinese President Xi Jinping told US President Joe Biden on Thursday that they firmly oppose Taiwan’s independence and the interference of external forces, Chinese state media reported.“Those who play with fire will only get burnt,” Xi told his American counterpart during the phone call, as per Reuters. “Hope the US …
Read More »Biden: ‘No surprise, economy slowing down’ as economy enters technical recession
The United States enters technical recession as economy shrank 0.9% in Q2 following two successive quarters of negative GDP growth. President Biden reacted to Thursday’s GDP report, saying it is “no surprise that the economy is slowing down” amid inflation, despite saying earlier this week that the US would not …
Read More »When does a real recession begin?
This question normally weighs on consumers, politicians and investors around the world every time the US central bank decides interest rate hikes. Is the US economy in a recession? The reasonable answer, so far, is: “maybe”, in other words; it is “A Mix of Yes and No”. For many people, …
Read More »US economy contracts at an annualized rate of 0.9% in Q2
The US economy contracted at an annualized rate of 0.9% in the second quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis’ (BEA) first estimate showed on Thursday. This reading came in much worse than the market expectation for an expansion of 0.5%. “The decrease in real GDP reflected decreases in private …
Read More »Gold rises to its highest level in 3 weeks as Dollar declines
Gold prices rose to a 3-week high on Thursday, July 28, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested the US central bank may slow the pace of interest rate hikes in the coming months, affecting the dollar and US Treasury yields. Spot gold rose 0.7% to $1,745.20 an ounce, its …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – Wednesday, July 27
The fears of the US economic slowdown as portrayed by the US Treasury yield curve appeared to have recently creeped among the optimists. US government bond market is sending a fresh batch of signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation could result in recession. …
Read More »Gold capitalizes on Fed’s hawkish comments, consolidation ahead
It has been a big Wednesday for gold. FOMC decision should help convince Wall Street that a peak in Treasury yields (10-year) is in place. The Fed is still committed to fighting inflation and the market is getting very close to pricing in peak tightening.Gold looks like it could continue …
Read More »Yield curve flashing additional signals of recession risks
The US government bond market is sending new signals that investors are increasingly convinced the Fed’s aggressive actions to tame inflation will result in recession.While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said that he does not see the economy currently in a recession, spreads between different pairings of Treasury securities …
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