As the U.S. economy moves into 2026, investors, businesses, and policymakers are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Based on the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December 2025 Summary of Economic Projections, the central bank is signaling a cautious approach to monetary easing, shaped by resilient growth, lingering inflation …
Read More »Dollar Hovers Near 12-Week Lows as Year-End Trading Stays Muted; Yen Steady After Tokyo Inflation Data
Most major currencies traded in tight ranges on Friday amid thin year-end market conditions, while the U.S. dollar hovered near 12-week lows as investors weighed softer U.S. rate expectations and a fresh batch of Japanese economic data. Liquidity remained light across Asian and European FX sessions, with many market participants …
Read More »2026: The Year the Dollar’s Dominance Retested, But Not Broken
The US dollar heads into 2026 carrying visible scars from the past year. After a prolonged slide through 2025, the narrative around the greenback has shifted from effortless strength to cautious reassessment. This is not a collapse story. It is a stress test—one shaped by softer growth, narrowing policy advantages, …
Read More »Has Fed Successfully Absorbed Trump’s Pressure Without Losing Ground?
In 2025, the Federal Reserve found itself walking a delicate tightrope between political pressures and its mandate to stabilize the U.S. economy. Facing repeated threats from former President Donald Trump, the central bank adopted a low-profile, strategic approach, quietly absorbing challenges while maintaining its core independence.A Quiet Monetary Strategy in …
Read More »Ruble Rally in a Year of Turbulence: Russia’s Currency Defies the Odds in 2025
In a year marked by geopolitical strain and economic uncertainty, the Russian ruble delivered a striking performance. Between January 1 and December 24, 2025, the currency gained nearly 30% against the U.S. dollar, climbing from 113.73 to 78.99 per dollar. It was one of the ruble’s strongest annual showings in …
Read More »Has Fed Paved the Way for Jerome Powell to Step Aside?
Reappointments and stability may finally let the chair leave gracefully: After months of intense political pressure, the Federal Reserve may have quietly reassured its chair that stepping down could be a smooth, safe transition. The central bank’s recent moves signal stability and continuity, potentially allowing Jerome Powell to exit the …
Read More »Race for the Fed: Trump’s High-Pressure Pick as Markets Test Central Bank Independence
With Jerome Powell’s term ending in May, the race to lead the US Federal Reserve has reached a critical moment. President Donald Trump is expected to reveal his nominee soon, a choice that will shape interest-rate policy, investor confidence, and the delicate balance between politics and central banking for years …
Read More »Dollar Softens, T-Yields Retreat Despite Solid U.S. Growth
U.S. Treasury yields edged lower on Wednesday as investors increased allocations to government bonds, even after economic data confirmed strong growth momentum. The 10-year yield, the key benchmark for borrowing costs, fell by more than three basis points to around 4.14%. Shorter- and longer-dated yields followed the same direction, with …
Read More »U.S. Jobs Outlook Darkens for 2026 as Hiring Slows and Layoff Risks Build
After a relatively calm start to 2025, the U.S. labor market ended the year on shaky ground. What began as a period of limited hiring and limited firing gradually shifted into a wave of large-scale layoffs across some of America’s biggest employers. By year’s end, job cuts had climbed to …
Read More »Loonie Holds the Upper Hand as Policy Gap Pressures USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar maintained a modest edge against its U.S. counterpart, keeping USD/CAD pinned near five-month lows as subdued holiday liquidity capped volatility. The pair hovered around 1.3675, close to its weakest level since late July, with price action driven more by policy expectations than fresh data.GDP Data Fails to …
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