The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its global growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2%, up from 3.0% in July, while keeping its 2026 projection steady at 3.1%, according to its World Economic Outlook report released Tuesday. Moderate Optimism Despite Trade Risks The IMF’s upward revision reflects more resilient financial conditions …
Read More »UK Wage Growth Slows to Two-Year Low, Strengthening Case for Early BoE Rate Cut
British wage growth cooled to its weakest pace since mid-2022, while unemployment ticked higher, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) could deliver its first rate cut earlier than previously anticipated. Pay Growth Loses Momentum but Hiring Shows Signs of Stabilization Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session: Is the US Dollar’s Rebound Just a Temporary Truce in Global Trade Wars?
The US dollar kicked off the week on a stronger note, clawing back some ground after President Donald Trump dialed back his threats of steeper tariffs on Chinese goods. This shift in tone, coupled with Treasury Secretary Bessent’s reassurance that 100% tariffs aren’t inevitable and hints of a potential meeting …
Read More »Is the Euro Set for a Deeper Dive Amid Lingering Global Pressures?
The EUR/USD pair continues its precarious slide, dipping to 1.15677 with a modest 0.02% daily drop, extending a broader monthly decline of 1.42%. This movement highlights a troubling truth: even as the Euro has notched an impressive 11.71% year-to-date gain against the Dollar, persistent trade frictions and political instability are …
Read More »Is 152.00 the New Red Line for the Yen, or Just a Speed Bump?
The U.S. Dollar’s resilience against the Japanese Yen, with the exchange rate clawing back above the critical 152.00 level, poses a profound challenge to Tokyo’s policymakers. The narrative for this upward momentum remains stubbornly clear: a persistent, wide gulf in interest rates between the U.S. and Japan, exacerbated by a …
Read More »Fed’s Paulson Backs Two 25 Basis Point Rate Cuts in 2025
Will the Fed’s Cautious Cuts Steer the Economy to a Soft Landing?The Federal Reserve’s next moves are under intense scrutiny as policymakers navigate a complex economic landscape. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anna Paulson recently signaled support for two additional 25 basis point rate cuts in 2025, a stance …
Read More »Key Economic Data Reports Facing Obstacles Amid Shutdown (as of October 13, 2025)
The ongoing partial government shutdown, now in its second week, has led to the suspension or delay of numerous critical economic data releases from federal agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and U.S. Census Bureau. These disruptions stem from furloughs, halted data collection, …
Read More »Week Recap: Fed in a Bind Amid Stock Surge, Gold’s Record Gains
The recent trading week concluded amid a state of chaos dominated by sharp contradictions that swept through global markets and major institutions, forcing investors to reassess fundamental risks, redistribute capital, and rearrange their diversified asset portfolios.Amid government deadlock in Washington and an unprecedented escalation in the trade war between superpowers, …
Read More »Treasury Yields Slide as Trump–Xi Trade Rift Deepens
Renewed tensions between US President Donald Trump and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping have unsettled global markets, reviving fears of a prolonged economic standoff between the world’s two largest economies. Trump’s latest warning of a “massive tariff escalation” against Chinese exports coincided with Beijing’s decision to tighten controls on rare earth …
Read More »Is the Trade War Back? How Trump’s Tariff Threat is Testing the Dollar’s Strength
A Shockwave Through MarketsThe renewed tariff threats from Washington have reignited fears of a trade confrontation that many thought was behind us. When U.S. President Donald Trump announced the possibility of a “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese imports, global markets reacted swiftly. The U.S. Dollar Index slipped below 99.00, …
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