Will Fed say goodbye to the rate hiking era? The Fed will likely be in a holding pattern, with inflation moderating and a weakening labour market. Another rate hike from here looks less likely given this softer inflation reading. The dollar softened on Tuesday following data for US consumer prices …
Read More »US Retail Sales Preview
The US Census Bureau’s October Retail Sales report is expected to reveal a decline in consumption for the first time since March. Economists predict a 0.3% decline in October, with sales ex-autos compared to the prior release of 0.6%. Deutsche Bank expects weak unit motor vehicle sales to lead to …
Read More »Will recent US CPI data be welcomed by Fed policymakers?
The US consumer price inflation looks to have negatively surprised the consensus. Economists still predict that the Fed will hold interest rates steady until June 2024, when they will start to cut them. In other words, October saw a decrease in inflationary pressures.With fuel prices acting as a major drag …
Read More »JPY is approaching the lowest level in 3 decades
The battered yen remained stuck near a three-decade low against the dollar on Tuesday and struggled to stem losses as the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy continued to conflict with expectations of interest rates remaining high for longer periods elsewhere. The Japanese currency recorded its lowest level in 15 …
Read More »A slight rise in European stocks ahead of the CPI data
European stocks rose on Tuesday, led by auto and basic resources shares, as investors awaited US inflation data that may provide a clearer picture of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. By 0810 GMT, the European STOXX 600 index rose 0.1 percent after a broad rise in the previous session. …
Read More »Japan’s Nikkei index closed higher amid optimism about corporate profits
Japan’s Nikkei index closed higher on Tuesday amid optimism that local companies will continue to announce strong forecasts as the yen remains near its lowest level in three decades against the dollar. The Nikkei rose 0.34 percent to close at 32,695.93 points, while the broader Topix index rose 0.37 percent …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, Nov. 13
The US Consumer Price Index is the crucial report on Tuesday. The Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence Index and the National Australia Bank’s Business Survey are due during the Asian session. Later in the day, the Eurozone will release Q3 GDP and employment figures, the UK will report jobs data, and …
Read More »US Government faces shutdown next week
The federal government faces a shutdown next week if Republicans and Democrats in Congress cannot agree on a spending plan. Moody’s has reaffirmed America’s credit rating to “negative” due to concerns about the nation’s worsening fiscal position and political polarization. The change, which falls short of a downgrade to the …
Read More »EUR/GBP softer ahead of key economic data
A downward trend is observed in the EUR/GBP ahead of Tuesday’s key data points. After a consistent increase last week, the Euro is now declining. A major data double-header featuring labour, wages, and GDP figures for the UK and the EU is causing the EUR/GBP to weaken. As we approach …
Read More »GBP/JPY reacts to looming options expiration
The GBP/JPY is trading into the high side, following a spike in Yen rates due to Yen options expiries. However, the moves were short-lived, and the pair is now trading back into recent highs. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki warned that the Japanese government is closely monitoring currency markets, which …
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