The US economy gained 431000 jobs in March, on top of upward revisions and other upbeat data. There is nothing in the data suggesting that the Fed will refrain from a 50 bps rate hike. The US dollar is set to gain ground as traders take risks off the table …
Read More »NFP Preview: Forecasts From 4 Major Banks
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the March jobs report on Friday, April 1 at 12:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 4 major banks regarding the upcoming employment data. CIBC “Employers likely …
Read More »Will NFP report tip the scales on the Fed’s decision in May?
Friday’s awaited report will be the final NFP data immediately before the next Fed meeting in early May, where traders are currently split between expecting a 25bps and a 50bps rate hike.It is like a problematic monetary policy riddle; how can a central bank raise interest rates, but be further …
Read More »OPEC + Ministerial Monitoring Committee agreed to adhere to the production policy in May
An OPEC + source said that the OPEC + Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee agreed to adhere to the current oil production policy and increase production by 432,000 barrels per day as of May. according to reuters.
Read More »Ahead of NFP Data, Bond Market Signaling Recession Warning
Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …
Read More »Oil rises with supply shortage and possible new sanctions against Russia
Oil prices reversed their heavy losses, rising more than 2 percent on Wednesday as supply tightened and prospects of new Western sanctions against Russia increased, despite signs of progress in peace talks between Moscow and Kiev. Brent crude futures rose $2.48, or 2.3 percent, to $112.71 a barrel by 1003 …
Read More »US ADP Employment Expectations As Job Creation Slows Down
While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »OPEC+ to stick to May oil output increase plan
The U.S., Europe and Japan have called on oil-producing nations to do more to tackle record-high prices amid the war in Ukraine and ongoing supply shortages. On Monday, OPEC+ group was reportedly expected to stick to the May oil output plan increase plan at the March 31 meeting as several …
Read More »Market Overview: Yen at 6-year low as Bank of Japan moves to contain bond yield surge
The Japanese yen fell on Monday to its lowest level in six years against the dollar and is on track to record its largest daily loss since March 2020, after the Bank of Japan moved to contain rising bond yields even as US Treasury yields rose to new highs not …
Read More »US Shares Close Mixed As Traders Hunt For Fed’s Policy Direction
US equities were mixed throughout Friday but eventually closed higher for the week after a streak of up and down days on Wall Street as investors digest the path ahead for the US central bank’s interest rate hikes and a host of new sanctions imposed by Western nations against Russia.The …
Read More »