Kansas City Fed President Esther George said on Monday that the Federal Reserve can move sooner to start reducing its bond holdings than in the past and aggressive action to shrink the US central bank’s portfolio.“What we do on the balance sheet will likely affect the path of policy rates …
Read More »Will BoE hike rates on Thursday?
The Bank of England will announce its decision on monetary policy this week. Market consensus points to a rate hike of 25bp to 0.50%. Analysts at Danske Bank see the BoE raising rates three times in 2022 (February, May and November) and consider that expectations of five hikes as being …
Read More »Daly: Fed’s QT Could Still Support US Economy
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly on Monday noted that if the Federal Funds rate was to reach 1.25% by the end of the year, that would be quite a bit of tightening but still supportive of the economy. Seemingly, Daly is talking about the possibility of …
Read More »SNB Chair Jordan: We have to take inflation developments seriously
Swiss National Bank Chairman Thomas Jordan told Swiss broadcaster SRF on Monday that we have to take inflation developments seriously, and that while some of this inflation is certainly temporary, all central banks have to be careful it doesn’t become permanent. Jordan reiterated that inflation is expected to come down …
Read More »NFP expected to fall by 100000 in January
On Friday 4 February, the US official employment report will be released. Market consensus is for an increase in payrolls of 155K while Wells Fargo expects a decline by 100K. They anticipate average hourly earnings to rise by 0.6% during January.Key Quotes: “In recent months, there have been substantial revisions …
Read More »NZD/USD Rebounds Amid Improved Risk Appetite
The NZD/USD pair is enjoying a modest rebound from the 14-month lows it struck last Friday amid improved risk appetite. Traders will have plenty of US data, Fed speakers’ statements and remarks, in addition to Q4 NZ jobs data to monitor this week.A more risk-on mood in global equity and …
Read More »Chicago PMI Surges in January
Activity at factories in the U.S. Midwestern region defied expectations by gaining momentum in January. The Chicago purchasing managers’ index (PMI) delivered a fresh reading of 65.2, indicating manufacturing expansion accelerated in the first month of 2022, rising from December’s upwardly revised 64.3 and coming in well above the 61.7 …
Read More »Forecasts from eight major banks on RBA’S monetary policy
The Reserve Bank of Australia will meet on Tuesday, 1 February, forecasts by the economists and researchers of eight major banks regarding the upcoming central bank’s decision are worth considering. The RBA is expected to end its pandemic-related bond-buying program while market participants speculate policymakers will bring forward rate hikes’ …
Read More »Weekly Recap 24-28 January
US Data released on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 1% during the fourth quarter, and 4% during the year. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out the quarterly increase was more restrained than Q3’s 1.3% gain, and they consider that may tamp down fears of a wage-price spiral …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 28 January 2022
US Treasury yields ended Friday’s trading in a bearish trend, affected by the relative stability in US inflation rates, which was reflected by fresh data. Bond yields for ten years fell to 1.782%, compared to the last daily close, which recorded 1.804%.Economic DataThe oil and gas rig count, an early …
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