The financial markets witnessed many developments during the trading week ending on Friday, July 5, 2024, in terms of major currencies, American and international stocks, commodities, and other most prominent traded assets, and in this weekly report we attempt to monitor the most important developments.Markets were mixed this week, with …
Read More »Explainer: Why Are Wall Street Discussions Recalling Sahm Rule?
Wall Street is buzzing about the Sahm Rule after the latest US Bureau of Labour Statistics data release showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate. While the headline number of 206,000 new jobs created in June exceeded the 190,000 expectations, economists are concerned about several underlying factors.What is the …
Read More »Will AI Push S&P 500 higher before peaking next year?
AI enthusiasm will propel the S&P 500 to 7,000 by next year, although AI itself is largely seen as a market bubble that will bubble until 2025. Investors are overestimating the technology’s macroeconomic benefits. The S&P 500 has already broken more than thirty new highs this year, and the rush …
Read More »Fed Under Pressure to Cut Rates in September as Job Market Cools
June’s jobs report sent a mixed message, with job gains have remained better than expected in a strong status but other indicators are suggesting a slowdown. This has increased pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September.Job Growth Flatters, Not Deceives: While headline numbers showed solid hiring, …
Read More »Gold rallies after US labour data
Spot gold is up 1.16%, trading at $238460, and gold futures are up 1.20%, trading at $2394.45 at the time of writing. Gold has continued its positive run as investors become increasingly optimistic about the Fed’s intention to lower interest rates sooner than previously thought. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report …
Read More »Semi-Annual Policy Report: Fed needs greater confidence before moving to rate cuts
In its Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report published on Friday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) noted that they have seen modest further progress on inflation this year but added that they still need greater confidence before moving to rate cuts. The US Dollar Index showed no immediate reaction to this publication and …
Read More »What do markets expect from US NFP data?
The most important US labour data will be released later on Friday, amid expectations of a significant decline in job growth in the United States, with a stability in the unemployment rate, in addition to a limited decline in wage growth.On the first Friday of every month, the employment data …
Read More »DXY Declines On US Holiday
The US dollar is facing further scrutiny in the wake of the depressing ADP and ISM Services PMI readings. Markets become more certain that the Fed will lower rates in September. Investor focus is now shifting to the June Nonfarm Payrolls data, which is due on Friday. The DXY Index, …
Read More »Sterling Surges ahead of UK elections, NFP data
The Pound Sterling has strengthened against the US dollar as the US labour market loses momentum. Investors expect the Fed to begin lowering interest rates in September, and economists expect that the Starmer-led Labour Party will gain an absolute majority. The GBP/USD jumps higher amid growing speculation that the Fed …
Read More »Gold surges amid weaker US data, increased rate cut bets
Gold has seen a significant increase in value as weak US data and a change in tone from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have increased bets that the Fed will lower interest rates earlier than previously expected. Lower interest rates are positive for Gold as they reduce the opportunity cost …
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