US Election Looms LargeThe upcoming US presidential election has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the global markets. As the two candidates remain neck-and-neck, investors brace for potential market volatility, especially in the immediate aftermath of the election. The USD/JPY pair has been particularly volatile, with the yen strengthening following …

China’s economic growth has been slowing, prompting policymakers to consider a significant stimulus package. While a proposed 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) fiscal stimulus could provide a temporary boost, concerns persist about its long-term efficacy and its ability to address the underlying structural issues.The Limits of Stimulus The Chinese government’s …

The election has significant implications for Fed policy in 2025, with a Trump victory potentially ensuring a lower tax environment that boosts sentiment and spending in the near-term. However, promised tariffs, immigration controls, and higher borrowing costs will become headwinds through his presidential term. Conversely, a Harris victory implies continuity, …

The US Dollar, once an unfaltering symbol of global financial stability, has recently exhibited a volatile performance. While it initially surged on the back of aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, it has since retreated as market expectations for future tightening have moderated. The confluence of economic factors, …

Wall Street roared to life on Friday, propelled by a surprisingly weak October jobs report. The US economy added a mere 12,000 jobs, a stark contrast to the robust growth seen in previous months. This unexpected slowdown ignited hopes that the Federal Reserve might temper its aggressive rate hike trajectory. …

A Tale of Two Reports: NFP and ISM The recent release of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI reports has sent mixed signals about the state of the US economy. While the NFP report painted a picture of a slowing labor market, the ISM …

The Federal Reserve’s ongoing efforts to tighten monetary policy have led to a significant decline in the amount of money parked at its overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility. This development has sparked renewed debate about the potential for a liquidity crunch in the US financial system.As of Friday, the …

The Federal Reserve is poised to once again navigate a complex economic landscape as it prepares for its upcoming policy meeting. While the central bank is widely expected to implement a modest interest rate cut, the underlying economic conditions present a nuanced picture. The recent employment report, though initially underwhelming, …

US Dollar Weakens on Yen Strength and Fed Rate Hike UncertaintyThe US Dollar weakened on Thursday as the Japanese Yen strengthened after a slightly hawkish tone from the Bank of Japan. The upcoming US labor market report on Friday is crucial for determining the Federal Reserve’s future rate hike path. …

Preparing for Market Volatility Ahead of the US Election As the US election approaches, investors are bracing for potential market moves and fluctuations. Preparing for these shifts involves several strategic steps to mitigate risk and capitalize on opportunities.One of the most important strategies is portfolio diversification. By spreading investments across …