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Mohamed Abdelhamid

Decoding the January Retail Sales Dip

Retail Sales

January’s US retail sales figures revealed a surprising 0.9% month-over-month decline, the sharpest drop in nearly two years. This figure initially sparked concerns about the economy’s health. However, a closer examination reveals a more nuanced picture, suggesting that the drop may not signal a significant shift in consumer spending. Several …

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Could BTC test all-time-highs?

Bitcoin, currently trading around $96,017, is consolidating below $100,000, yet several factors hint at a potential price surge. On-chain data shows a significant drop in small Bitcoin holders, suggesting retail investors are selling due to fear. Historically, this capitulation often coincides with large holders, “whales,” accumulating Bitcoin, frequently preceding price …

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Dollar Retreats Despite Price Pressures and Labour Market Conditions

The US dollar’s recent performance presents a puzzle. Despite robust Producer Price Index (PPI) data and a resilient labour market, the dollar has weakened, underscoring the powerful influence of geopolitical events and shifting market sentiment. This dynamic suggests that traditional economic indicators may, at times, take a backseat to broader …

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Market Drivers; US Session: Sticky Inflation and Trade War Concerns In Focus

The signing of a reciprocal tariff order has injected further uncertainty into global trade. The potential for escalating trade tensions increases investor nervousness, prompting a flight to safe-haven assets. Gold prices have surged, approaching record highs, driven by a confluence of factors including US dollar weakness, trade anxieties, and robust …

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Economic Data Matters: Fed’s Hawkish Stance Poised To Remain In Place Till September 2025

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that President Trump’s calls for lower interest rates won’t change the central bank’s rate decisions. Powell stated that the Fed will continue to make decisions based on the economy’s situation, despite Trump’s social media comments suggesting lower interest rates. The Fed has cut its …

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Tesla Is Out: Gears Shifted on Armoured Vehicle Contract Amid US Scrutiny

The State Department’s planned $400 million purchase of “Armoured Teslas” has hit a roadblock. A 2025 procurement forecast, initially listing the purchase, was recently updated to remove Tesla’s name and instead specify “Armoured Electric Vehicles.” This change follows reports of potential conflict of interest due to Elon Musk’s prominent role …

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