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Mohamed Abdelhamid

Crude Rises as Peace Talks Collapse and Macron’s Warning Rekindles Geopolitical Risk

Oil prices climbed on Friday, lifted by geopolitical shocks that overshadowed otherwise bearish supply signals. Traders who had braced for a quiet session were jolted by fresh headlines from Europe, where hopes of a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire collapsed and French President Emmanuel Macron issued his sharpest warning yet against “appeasement.” By …

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Soft landing in sight as PCE cools and markets firm ahead of the December decision

Core PCE

The delayed September U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report landed with the calmer inflation readings markets were hoping for. Core PCE—the Fed’s favored gauge—slowed to 2.8% year over year, with monthly price pressures broadly in line with expectations, reinforcing the case that disinflation remains intact despite autumn volatility. The delay …

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Global Markets 2025: A Year of Explosive Gains, Collapsing Giants, and a High-Stakes Setup for 2026

As 2025 draws to a close, global markets are heading toward one of the most dramatic year-ends in recent memory. While U.S. equities, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies are delivering historic gains, the U.S. dollar and oil are suffering deep, structural declines. The shift is driven by a powerful trifecta: expectations …

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Crude Oil Prices Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Market Uncertainty

Crude oil prices climbed on Thursday, December 4, as global markets reacted to a combination of geopolitical tensions and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts. Brent crude rose to $63 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) approached $60, reflecting renewed market caution following attacks on Russian oil infrastructure in …

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Euro Pulls Back After Strong Eight-Day Rally as Traders Brace for Key US and Eurozone Data

The euro slipped slightly against the US dollar on Thursday, pausing after an eight-day winning streak as investors reassessed market sentiment ahead of major economic releases. The pair retreated from its earlier highs near 1.1660—the strongest level since mid-October—pressured by a mild rebound in the US Dollar and mixed data …

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A 25 bp Cut Is Nearly Priced In — But FOMC More Divided Than Ever

As trading floors close on December 4, 2025, one outcome looks almost inevitable: the Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark rate by a quarter point next week, lowering the target range to 3.50%–3.75%. Futures markets are assigning better than an 84% probability to that move — a complete about-face from …

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