In June 2025, U.S. consumer sentiment showed signs of life. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index climbed 16.3% to 60.7, up from May but still 18% below December 2024 levels. A Modest Upturn Amid Economic uneaseThis uptick, though notable, reflects cautious optimism rather than robust confidence. Consumers remain wary, …
Read More »Dollar Rides High on Trade Deal Optimism
Trade Talks Fuel Dollar’s Rise: In June 2025, the U.S. dollar got a shot in the arm from growing optimism over trade negotiations. Reports of nearing agreements between the United States and key trading partners pushed the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against major currencies, to 97.27 points on …
Read More »U.S. Inflation Stays Cool in May: Calm Before the Storm?
Inflation Meets Expectations: In May 2025, U.S. inflation aligned closely with forecasts, offering a moment of stability amid economic uncertainty. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, favored by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for its reliability, rose 0.1% month-over-month, matching both the prior reading and market expectations. Annually, the PCE …
Read More »Explainer: Europe’s Trade Concessions Versus Trump’s Tariff Threat
The European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen expressed readiness to strike a trade deal with the Trump administration, but with caveats. Facing U.S. threats of 50% tariffs by July 9, the EU is open to concessions, particularly on autonomous vehicle regulations, to protect key sectors like autos and steel. …
Read More »Transatlantic Tensions: Macron Warns of Europe’s Tariff Retaliation Against US Companies
French President Emmanuel Macron declared that Europe would counter a proposed 10% US tariff with equivalent levies on American firms. This bold stance highlights mounting friction between European leaders and the US, as markets reacted with the EUR/USD falling 0.18% to 1.1682. Macron’s warning signals Europe’s readiness to protect its …
Read More »Gold Prices Retreat Despite Dollar Weakness: What’s Next?
Gold prices linger below $3,320, unable to capitalize on a weakened US Dollar and declining Treasury yields. Robust US economic data and looming Federal Reserve leadership changes introduce uncertainty, capping the metal’s upward momentum. This article explores why gold struggles to rally, what factors are at play, and what lies …
Read More »Banxico’s Bold Move: Rates Slashed to 8%
On June 26, 2025, the Banco de Mexico (Banxico) lowered its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 8%, aligning with market expectations. The decision, however, saw dissent from Deputy Governor Jonathan Heath, who advocated maintaining rates at 8.5%. This cut reflects Banxico’s response to a complex economic landscape, …
Read More »US Bond Yields Slide on Fed Leadership Uncertainty, Dollar/Yen Tracks the Trend
U.S. Treasury yields fell on Thursday, with 10-year notes dropping to 4.258% from previous 4.292%. The decline followed reports that President Donald Trump is exploring replacements for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This speculation has sparked concerns about a potential shift in monetary policy, unsettling markets. Yields fluctuated during the …
Read More »A New Fed Chair on the Horizon As Risks Loom
A potential shake-up in Federal Reserve leadership under President Donald Trump has sparked a surge in financial markets, raising questions about the future of U.S. monetary policy. Speculation about replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term extends to May 2026, has fueled optimism for a more dovish approach, with …
Read More »US Stocks Soar Amid Speculation on Powell Replacement, Upbeat Data
US stocks continued their upward climb during Thursday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 rising approximately 0.4%, nearing record highs. Fueled by speculation about replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and positive economic data, the market saw robust gains.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite advanced by about 0.5%, outperforming its previous session, …
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