When the Fed raises interest rates and the yield curve inverts, someone will inevitably push the “big red button.” But this is also where the media is wrong about the 1995 “soft landing” scenario. The economy didn’t “soften” in 1995; crisis events did. But more importantly, when the yield curve …
Read More »GBP/JPY rebounds on dovish BoE
The GBP/JPY is rebounding from last week’s dip. It is a heavy week on the economic calendar for the Pound Sterling, with wages, inflation, and Retail Sales inbound.Dovish comments from BoE officials are capping upside potential for the GBP. The GBP/JPY is seeing gains for Monday, trading into 182.50 after …
Read More »China’s strong imports raise questions on weak economic outlook
China’s imports of major commodities continued resilient in September, despite all the discussion that insisted that the Chinese economy is struggling for momentum. Imports of crude oil, natural gas, coal, and iron ore dropped slightly from August, but all were higher than in September last year. The first nine months …
Read More »US stocks surge with main focus on corporate earnings
Wall Street’s main indexes advanced on Monday as investors awaited key economic data and major corporate earnings this week for clues on the U.S. economy and monitoring the Israel-Hamas conflict. Long-dated US Treasury yields gained as the United States sought to prevent an escalation in tensions, with Secretary of State …
Read More »BoC Survey: Consumers think interest rates will go up over next 12 months
The BoC noted in its Business Outlook Survey for the third quarter on Monday that consumers thought that interest rates will go up over the next 12 months.USD/CAD stays under modest bearish pressure in the American session and the pair was last seen losing 0.23% on the day at 1.3625.Key …
Read More »Fed’s Harker: Higher Rates Contribute to Rising Home Prices
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said higher interest rates are making it more challenging for first-time home buyers by raising borrowing costs and limiting inventory, which is also leading to higher home prices.Higher rates discourage current owners from listing their homes for sale, which puts a crunch …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, October 13
Following a decline on Thursday due to negative market sentiment, the Canadian dollar saw a minor recovery on Friday. Following a CPI inflation beat, investors supported the US dollar over worries that Fed interest rates would remain high. The Canadian currency, tied to crude oil price movement, is also strengthening …
Read More »Oil soars 6% on geopolitical escalation
On Friday, oil prices rose by about 6%, with Brent recording its largest weekly gain since February. As soon as Israel started conducting ground incursions into the Gaza Strip, investors factored in the likelihood that the Middle Eastern conflict may intensify. A week after the terrorist Palestinian group’s murderous assault …
Read More »Gold leaps above $1925 amid escalating geopolitical tensions
In the wake of the rising Israel-Palestine crisis, gold prices are surging, trading around $1,929, precisely at $1929.20 at the time of writing; marking a gain of more than 3.21%. Israeli ground actions in Gaza instead of air strikes increase global tensions and strengthen safe-haven assets.US Treasury yields are under …
Read More »Could ECB’s soft landing be derailed by markets, politics?
Economists frequently raise concerns about inflation risks and challenges to the Eurozone’s economic prognosis for a gentle landing. The ECB should remain on hold until there is a clearer understanding of the future, which may not happen until March of the next year. When the ECB hinted last month that …
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