Spot gold is trading at $1964.11 per ounce at the time of writing. Gold prices have surged in early US trading session, following a slightly tamer US inflation report. The consumer price index report for October came in at 3.2% year-on-year, falling into the camp of US monetary policy doves …
Read More »Fed’s future path becomes clearer post CPI data
Will Fed say goodbye to the rate hiking era? The Fed will likely be in a holding pattern, with inflation moderating and a weakening labour market. Another rate hike from here looks less likely given this softer inflation reading. The dollar softened on Tuesday following data for US consumer prices …
Read More »US Retail Sales Preview
The US Census Bureau’s October Retail Sales report is expected to reveal a decline in consumption for the first time since March. Economists predict a 0.3% decline in October, with sales ex-autos compared to the prior release of 0.6%. Deutsche Bank expects weak unit motor vehicle sales to lead to …
Read More »Will recent US CPI data be welcomed by Fed policymakers?
The US consumer price inflation looks to have negatively surprised the consensus. Economists still predict that the Fed will hold interest rates steady until June 2024, when they will start to cut them. In other words, October saw a decrease in inflationary pressures.With fuel prices acting as a major drag …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, Nov. 13
The US Consumer Price Index is the crucial report on Tuesday. The Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence Index and the National Australia Bank’s Business Survey are due during the Asian session. Later in the day, the Eurozone will release Q3 GDP and employment figures, the UK will report jobs data, and …
Read More »US Government faces shutdown next week
The federal government faces a shutdown next week if Republicans and Democrats in Congress cannot agree on a spending plan. Moody’s has reaffirmed America’s credit rating to “negative” due to concerns about the nation’s worsening fiscal position and political polarization. The change, which falls short of a downgrade to the …
Read More »Oil closes higher as OPEC’s report eases demand woes
Following OPEC’s monthly market report, which allayed fears about declining demand and a US investigation into Russian oil sanctions violations, WTI crude oil prices rose by 1.43% on Monday. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 1.4% to settle at $78.40 per barrel, while Brent crude futures increased by 1.29% …
Read More »EUR/GBP softer ahead of key economic data
A downward trend is observed in the EUR/GBP ahead of Tuesday’s key data points. After a consistent increase last week, the Euro is now declining. A major data double-header featuring labour, wages, and GDP figures for the UK and the EU is causing the EUR/GBP to weaken. As we approach …
Read More »How will China’s deflation make Powell’s mission harder?
As he gets ready to leave for San Francisco, Fed Chair Jerome Powell may want to discuss China’s plans with Chinese officials on how to avoid a prolonged deflationary slump. However, it is worth noting that 4 years ago, on the thirteenth of November 2019, Powell said it is hard …
Read More »Could China’s deflation impact global markets more than expected?
Only China wants its inflation to increase, whereas the rest of the world is trying to bring inflation down from current levels. China’s CPI decreased by two basis points in October. Although the country’s official statements indicate that deflation is unlikely, the PPI fell by more than 2.5%.There are also …
Read More »