Treasury officials in President Biden’s Treasury Department have proposed new actions to cripple a fleet of aging oil tankers that are helping deliver Russian oil to buyers around the world in defiance of Western sanctions. The effort is aimed at punishing Russia but has stalled amid White House concerns over …
Read More »US Dollar looks for catalysts ahead of CPI data, Powell’s testimony
the US Dollar was down 0.80% last week, now at lowest level since mid-June. Anticipation builds with the upcoming release of the June inflation figures and Fed talks.Market is pricing in less than 10% odds of a cut in July and around 80% in September. The US Dollar continues to …
Read More »BoE seen to hold Interest rates in August
Interest rates in the UK are expected to be held again next month, rather than cut for the first time in over four years, according to Jonathan Haskel, a member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The UK central bank has kept interest rates at a 16-year …
Read More »Markets’ Weekly Recap: Bets continue on a US rate cut sooner than expected
The financial markets witnessed many developments during the trading week ending on Friday, July 5, 2024, in terms of major currencies, American and international stocks, commodities, and other most prominent traded assets, and in this weekly report we attempt to monitor the most important developments.Markets were mixed this week, with …
Read More »Explainer: Why Are Wall Street Discussions Recalling Sahm Rule?
Wall Street is buzzing about the Sahm Rule after the latest US Bureau of Labour Statistics data release showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate. While the headline number of 206,000 new jobs created in June exceeded the 190,000 expectations, economists are concerned about several underlying factors.What is the …
Read More »Will AI Push S&P 500 higher before peaking next year?
AI enthusiasm will propel the S&P 500 to 7,000 by next year, although AI itself is largely seen as a market bubble that will bubble until 2025. Investors are overestimating the technology’s macroeconomic benefits. The S&P 500 has already broken more than thirty new highs this year, and the rush …
Read More »Fed Under Pressure to Cut Rates in September as Job Market Cools
June’s jobs report sent a mixed message, with job gains have remained better than expected in a strong status but other indicators are suggesting a slowdown. This has increased pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September.Job Growth Flatters, Not Deceives: While headline numbers showed solid hiring, …
Read More »Gold rallies after US labour data
Spot gold is up 1.16%, trading at $238460, and gold futures are up 1.20%, trading at $2394.45 at the time of writing. Gold has continued its positive run as investors become increasingly optimistic about the Fed’s intention to lower interest rates sooner than previously thought. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report …
Read More »Semi-Annual Policy Report: Fed needs greater confidence before moving to rate cuts
In its Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report published on Friday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) noted that they have seen modest further progress on inflation this year but added that they still need greater confidence before moving to rate cuts. The US Dollar Index showed no immediate reaction to this publication and …
Read More »What do markets expect from US NFP data?
The most important US labour data will be released later on Friday, amid expectations of a significant decline in job growth in the United States, with a stability in the unemployment rate, in addition to a limited decline in wage growth.On the first Friday of every month, the employment data …
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