The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower the policy rate after the September meeting. The revised Summary of Economic Projections and Fed Chairman Powell’s remarks could provide important clues about the rate outlook. The US Dollar faces a two-way risk depending on the size of the interest rate cut. …
Read More »Euro Softens on Eurozone Outlook
The Euro has experienced a decline in recent trading, primarily due to a combination of weak economic data and growing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. As investors digest the implications of these developments, the currency pair has come under pressure.Weakening Economic SentimentA key factor contributing to the …
Read More »Market Drivers: Eve of FOMC’s Most Uncertain Meeting in 2024
The US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a temporary respite from its recent decline, supported by a rebound in US T-yields and anticipation of a potential 50-basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The upcoming FOMC meeting on September 18 will be a crucial event, shaping market dynamics in the …
Read More »Will FOMC Go Big or Small on Rate Policy?
The September 2024 FOMC meeting is poised to conclude on September 18th, with Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference following. Traders and economists are divided over the size of the rate cut, with 59% odds of a 50bps interest rate cut and 41% probability of a 25bps cut per CME FedWatch. …
Read More »Short Term Forecast: Gold Pressured Ahead of FOMC Decision
Strong US macroeconomic data, including US Retail Sales, above forecast, and an improvement in Industrial Production in August, has caused gold prices to decline. The US Dollar Index (DXY) increased by 0.21% to 100.92, which put pressure on the gold. The US Fed’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday is anticipated …
Read More »US Treasury Yields Rise Following Positive Data
US Treasury yields increased after data revealed a boost in consumer spending in the United States during August, according to figures released on Tuesday by the US Bureau of Labour Statistics. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 3.644% compared to the previous day’s close of 3.623%. …
Read More »US Stocks Decline Following Positive US Retail Sales Data
US stocks began to show a mixed performance, leaning towards a decline, influenced by US retail sales data. This data highlighted the possibility of increased consumer demand and, subsequently, a return to higher inflation in the United States.Wall Street stocks had reached record highs on Tuesday before investors in the …
Read More »EUR/GBP Consolidates As Bulls Show Signs of Strength
The EUR/GBP currency pair has been trading within a narrow range in recent sessions, with limited upward or downward momentum. However, there are emerging signs that bullish sentiment is gaining traction.Technically, the pair is currently trading slightly above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is converging at 0.8450. A …
Read More »Euro-Yen Soars Amid Mixed Economic Data
The EUR/JPY pair experienced a significant uptick, surpassing the 157.00 mark, despite a disappointing ZEW economic sentiment survey from the Eurozone and Germany. This surge was primarily driven by the strengthening US dollar against the Japanese yen, influenced by positive US retail sales data.While the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, September 16
The selling sentiment that was undermining the dollar on Monday persisted, as traders continued to assign more weight to the possibility that the Fed might shock the markets by lowering interest rates by a half percentage point on Wednesday. For the third straight day, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell, …
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