Nonfarm Payrolls +119K in September (consensus +50K), after August was revised down to –4K from +22K. Key details: Unemployment rate: 4.4% (from 4.3%). Labor force participation: 62.4% (from 62.3%). Avg. hourly earnings (YoY): 3.8% (unchanged; est. 3.7%). Revisions: July –7K to +72K; August –26K to –4K ⇒ net –33K over …
Read More »Bitcoin steadies near $92K as Fed split and delayed jobs data keep traders on edge
Bitcoin hovered around $91,900 early Thursday, stabilizing after a brief tumble below $90,000 in the prior session that underscored fragile risk appetite across crypto markets. Policy fog: Fed minutes deepen confusion Minutes from the Oct. 28–29 Federal Reserve meeting showed a widening divide over whether to cut rates on Dec. …
Read More »Oil inches higher as U.S. inventory draw offsets speculation of Russia–Ukraine peace push
Oil prices ticked up Thursday, recovering a fraction of the prior session’s slide, as a larger-than-expected draw in U.S. crude inventories tempered bets that a potential Washington-backed framework to end the Russia–Ukraine war could add supply to an already well-stocked market. Brent crude rose 0.3% to $63.72/bbl by 07:14 GMT. …
Read More »What to expect from US employment data (September 2025)
The First Batch of Core Employment Data (NFP) Is Released After the Government Shutdown This data release comes just one day after the Federal Reserve meeting, which was marked by significant caution regarding the future path of interest rates. Alongside the release, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced …
Read More »Dow Jones catches its breath 20/11/2025
After several down sessions, the index attempted a rebound, reaching a 46,516 high. Technical outlook 50-SMA (4H): Rolling over above price as a descending ceiling, consistent with the broader daily downtrend. RSI: Trying to stabilize around the 50 line, but positive momentum is not yet confirmed. Trade map (wait for …
Read More »CAD Anchors at Support 20/11/2025
USD/CAD staged a bullish rebound after defending the 1.4000 psychological floor. Technical outlook SMAs: Have turned higher beneath price, adding constructive momentum. RSI: Prints positive signals, aligning with further upside attempts. Base case (bullish while above 1.4000) Holding 1.4000 keeps the topside favored. A clean break/4H close above 1.4065 would …
Read More »Pound Outlines a Bearish Turn 20/11/2025
Sterling extended losses in line with our prior view, breaking 1.3075 and printing a 1.3038 low. Technical outlook SMAs: Sitting overhead as dynamic resistance, curbing rebound attempts. RSI / pattern: Momentum remains negative and a bearish structure persists, reinforcing the daily downtrend. Base case (bearish continuation) A decisive break/4H close …
Read More »Oil Gives Back Its Gains 20/11/2025
WTI reversed lower after failing to hold above $60.00, sliding to a $58.70 low. Technical outlook 50-SMA (4H): Price is trading below the average, adding downside pressure. Pattern/structure: A developing bearish setup (with lower highs) supports continuation risk to the downside. Base case (bearish while below $60.00 / $60.45) A …
Read More »Dollar Deals a Blow to Gold as Eyes Turn to the Jobs Report 20/11/2025
Gold faded after a $4,132 spike in U.S. hours, sliding to $4,038 as sellers regained control. Technical outlook SMAs: Overhead and acting as dynamic resistance, likely capping recovery attempts. RSI: Continues to flash negative momentum, underscoring weak upside follow-through. Base case (bearish while below $4,110 / $4,117) Maintaining trade below …
Read More »Euro Hits the Target Zone 20/11/2025
The pair extended its slide in line with our bearish view, meeting the 1.1520 target and printing 1.1510. Technical outlook Trend/SMAs: Price remains below the simple moving averages and under a descending trendline, keeping recovery attempts capped. RSI: Attempting to unwind oversold, but downtrend dominance persists. Base case (bearish while …
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