UK retail sales fell 1.1% m/m in October after a +0.7% gain in September (revised from +0.5%), the ONS said Friday, badly missing the market call for 0.0%. Ex-fuel core sales dropped 1.0% m/m (consensus -0.2%) following a revised +0.7% in September. On an annual basis, headline sales growth slowed …

Oil fell for a third straight session on Friday, with traders bracing for looser supply risks and tighter financial conditions. Brent down 2.2% to $61.98 by 10:10 GMT WTI down 2.5% to $57.52Both benchmarks are on track for ~4% weekly losses, erasing last week’s gains. What’s weighing on crude Diplomatic …

Germany’s private-sector expansion lost steam in November, with factory output contracting again and services growth easing, flash survey data showed Friday. Composite PMI (HCOB/S&P Global): 52.1 vs 53.9 in October — a two-month low, but above the 50 growth threshold for a sixth straight month. Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 vs 49.6 …

The index extended losses as mapped in the prior view: the 46,260 break unlocked 46,140, then sellers pressed toward 45,785/45,780. Technical outlook 50-SMA (4H): Rolling over above price as a descending ceiling, reinforcing the broader downtrend. RSI: Firmly negative, adding to downside pressure. Base case (bearish while below 46,230) Maintaining …

The pair advanced within its uptrend, meeting the 1.4090 objective and printing a 1.4107 high. Technical outlook SMAs: Positioned beneath price and supporting momentum. RSI: Firm and constructive, consistent with further topside attempts. Base case (bullish while above 1.4050) Holding 1.4050 keeps the upside in focus. A clean break/4H close …

The outlook is unchanged: the pair remains in a gradual downtrend. Technical outlook SMAs: Sitting overhead as dynamic resistance, dampening rebound attempts. RSI / structure: Momentum stays negative with a bearish pattern reinforcing the daily downtrend. Base case (bearish continuation) A decisive break/4H close below 1.3040 would likely press toward …

WTI extended lower in line with the prior bearish view, tagging the first target at $58.50 and printing a $58.05 low. Technical outlook 50-SMA (4H): Price remains below the average, keeping downside pressure intact. Structure: A bearish pattern with lower highs/lows supports continuation risk. Base case (bearish while below $59.05) …

Dollar strength post-jobs data dragged gold back into a downtrend. Technical outlook SMAs: Overhead and acting as stiff dynamic resistance, capping rebounds. RSI: Persistently negative, confirming weak buying pressure. Base case (bearish while below $4,085 / $4,095) Staying beneath $4,085–$4,095 keeps downside risks dominant. A decisive break/4H close below $4,038 …

EUR/USD — 4H Technical Update The downtrend remains in control, with price grinding lower. Technical outlook Trend/SMAs: Price holds below the simple moving averages and under a descending trendline, keeping upside attempts capped. RSI: Elevated relative to weak price action, hinting at bearish divergence and fading momentum. Base case (bearish …

U.S. stocks rose Thursday but closed well off intraday highs as an early, Nvidia-led rally lost steam and investors weighed mixed signals on the Federal Reserve’s next move. By 11:26 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.66% at 46,441.56, the S&P 500 gained 0.86% to 6,699.33, and …